The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Cyberforce
3x $0.34
Liquidation
1x $0.49
Rebel
1x $1.88
Bock Blocks
2x $0.80
Fusion
3x $0.82
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
10.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
10.0% $31.66
Amberline
10.0% $18.87
Galigator
10.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
10.0% $13.85
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $11.80
Max Win
$51.27 (+300.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$16.29 (+27.3%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+110.6%
Cost
$12.80
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $12.80
Ask Price EV $16.29 (+27.3%)
Bid Price EV $14.14 (+10.4%)
Ask Profit $3.49 (+27.3%)
Bid Profit $1.34 (+10.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.16 (+16.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.49
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.34
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+300.6%)
Worst Case $2.65 (-79.3%)
Volatility +110.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$13.23
Avg Loss -$6.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.65 (-79.3%)
Std Dev $14.16
Avg Norm Float 0.0695
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 148h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Liquidation
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.82 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.46 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.47 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.59 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 57M 59S //TOTAL COST $12.80 //ASK PRICE EV $16.29 //BID PRICE EV $14.14 //ASK PROFIT $3.49 (+27.3%) //BID PROFIT $1.34 (+10.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +110.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$51.27
+$38.47
+300.6%
$43.51
+$30.71
+239.9%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$31.66
+$18.86
+147.3%
$29.45
+$16.65
+130.1%
$2.21
7.0%
—
WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$18.87
+$6.07
+47.4%
$12.97
+$0.17
+1.3%
$5.90
31.3%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$14.51
+$1.71
+13.4%
$13.05
+$0.25
+2.0%
$1.46
10.1%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$13.85
+$1.05
+8.2%
$13.84
+$1.04
+8.1%
$0.01
0.1%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$11.80
-$1.00
-7.8%
$10.16
-$2.64
-20.6%
$1.64
13.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$8.11
-$4.70
-36.7%
$6.70
-$6.10
-47.7%
$1.41
17.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$6.89
-$5.91
-46.1%
$6.18
-$6.62
-51.7%
$0.71
10.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$3.33
-$9.47
-74.0%
$3.08
-$9.72
-75.9%
$0.25
7.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$2.65
-$10.15
-79.3%
$2.41
-$10.39
-81.2%
$0.24
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06954,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06954,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.05215500000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 6.893,
"optimistic_value": 6.62,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:08:39.032495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06954,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.05563200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.2503332,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06954,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06954,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.847,
"optimistic_value": 13.84,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 13.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:48.805111Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.041724000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.331,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:58.997849Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06954,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 8.105,
"optimistic_value": 8,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 6.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:17:50.393748Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_28f3159cbd49ed526c6225a8",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746188259578292",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:17.202406Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "502857689861700028",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:17.202406Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-d87f89df4191",
"listing_id": "502857637416920044",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d87f89df4191.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:55:26.180923Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "524249787961735143",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:17.202406Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "496102237882665215",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:08:44.638906Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "498354089953934779",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:59:42.692259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.82,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "517494388634452270",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:04:26.766369Z"
},
{
"price": 2.46,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235389470490196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:19.933203Z"
},
{
"price": 2.47,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "490472790738106563",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:19.933203Z"
},
{
"price": 2.59,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "499479989895893281",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:16.395707Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Amberline 10.0% $6.42 Galigator 10.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $4.72 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +272.2% | $5.75 +26.4% | 50.0% | +86.4% | $4.55 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Galigator 10.0% $3.56 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $3.01 Amberline 10.0% $2.89 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 | $10.69 +270.0% | $3.38 +17.1% | 50.0% | +86.0% | $2.89 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +209.6% | $22.13 +33.6% | 48.0% | +80.3% | $16.56 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +183.4% | $24.08 +33.1% | 54.0% | +75.5% | $18.09 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +274.0% | $18.23 +33.0% | 60.0% | +92.3% | $13.71 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +227.4% | $20.19 +28.9% | 42.0% | +82.8% | $15.66 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.38 Galigator 8.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $4.82 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +312.1% | $5.12 +24.6% | 52.0% | +91.1% | $4.11 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.38 Galigator 6.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.82 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +362.7% | $4.49 +22.8% | 44.0% | +94.6% | $3.66 | — |