The Clutch Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Night Riot
1x $0.28
Urban Hazard
1x $0.29
Oxide Blaze
2x $0.30
Black Sand
1x $0.30
Grip
1x $0.39
Mint Fan
2x $0.37
↓
Possible Outputs
Midnight Laminate
20.0% $18.08
Royal Guard
20.0% $5.61
Moonrise
12.0% $2.25
Lionfish
12.0% $1.29
SWAG-7
12.0% $0.83
Arctic Wolf
12.0% $0.71
Max Win
$18.08 (+334.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.43 (+30.5%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+157.9%
Cost
$4.16
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.16
Ask Price EV $5.43 (+30.5%)
Bid Price EV $4.69 (+12.6%)
Ask Profit $1.27 (+30.5%)
Bid Profit $0.53 (+12.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.74 (+17.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.27
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.53
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $18.08 (+334.5%)
Worst Case $0.70 (-83.2%)
Volatility +157.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$7.68
Avg Loss -$3.01
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.70 (-83.2%)
Std Dev $6.57
Avg Norm Float 0.1996
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 146h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Urban Hazard
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Field-Tested
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Reef Grief
—
Minimal Wear
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 46M 42S //TOTAL COST $4.16 //ASK PRICE EV $5.43 //BID PRICE EV $4.69 //ASK PROFIT $1.27 (+30.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.53 (+12.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $18.08 //VOLATILITY +157.9% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$18.08
+$13.92
+334.5%
$15.21
+$11.05
+265.6%
$2.87
15.9%
—
WIN
20.0%
$5.61
+$1.45
+34.9%
$5.11
+$0.95
+22.8%
$0.50
8.9%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$2.25
-$1.91
-46.0%
$2.09
-$2.07
-49.8%
$0.16
7.0%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.29
-$2.87
-69.1%
$1.04
-$3.12
-75.0%
$0.25
19.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.83
-$3.33
-80.0%
$0.72
-$3.44
-82.7%
$0.11
13.3%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.71
-$3.45
-82.9%
$0.64
-$3.52
-84.6%
$0.07
9.9%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.70
-$3.46
-83.2%
$0.69
-$3.47
-83.4%
$0.01
1.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.1496775,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dba8faaa2d7e",
"realistic_value": 18.0765,
"optimistic_value": 17.94,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate",
"conservative_value": 15.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:20.243302Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dba8faaa2d7e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.11974199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b88bf24d8569",
"realistic_value": 5.6105,
"optimistic_value": 5.6,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard",
"conservative_value": 5.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:22:36.335461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b88bf24d8569.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.12972050000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 2.247,
"optimistic_value": 2.24,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 2.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:45.069175Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1836044,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 0.83,
"optimistic_value": 0.83,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:29.786243Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.10976350000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 1.287,
"optimistic_value": 1.28,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T10:40:25.221598Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.15965600000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 0.7004999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:37.699881Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.15965600000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 0.7104999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.7,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:37:53.813272Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_23a7765ca509de38fdc6d75f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "518619491434524568",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:04.579318Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-87386812a8f9",
"listing_id": "509613036859202871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87386812a8f9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:57:35.912817Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-ae8080ca847c",
"listing_id": "505108692504375836",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ae8080ca847c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:39:57.807489Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "527627487624397292",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:52:46.326605Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-ae8080ca847c",
"listing_id": "520871291152034712",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ae8080ca847c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:39:57.807489Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "498354037510657507",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:38.844564Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "520872088107138432",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:59.518263Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"listing_id": "525375688037057371",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:43:43.241285Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "518620288314367912",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:59.518263Z"
},
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"listing_id": "506235389470145352",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:40:19.783759Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:6+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 25.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 25.0% $5.61 Moonrise 10.0% $2.25 Lionfish 10.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 10.0% $0.83 Arctic Wolf 10.0% $0.71 | $18.08 +263.0% | $6.50 +30.5% | 50.0% | +134.4% | $4.98 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 15.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 15.0% $5.69 Moonrise 14.0% $2.25 Lionfish 14.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 14.0% $0.83 Wild Six 14.0% $0.70 | $18.08 +436.4% | $4.37 +29.7% | 30.0% | +173.1% | $3.37 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 30.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 30.0% $5.61 Moonrise 8.0% $2.25 Lionfish 8.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 8.0% $0.83 Arctic Wolf 8.0% $0.71 | $18.08 +199.8% | $7.57 +25.5% | 30.0% | +113.8% | $6.03 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 35.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 35.0% $5.69 Moonrise 6.0% $2.25 Lionfish 6.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 6.0% $0.83 Arctic Wolf 6.0% $0.71 | $18.08 +153.9% | $8.66 +21.7% | 35.0% | +96.6% | $7.12 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 40.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 40.0% $5.69 Moonrise 4.0% $2.25 Lionfish 4.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 4.0% $0.83 Wild Six 4.0% $0.70 | $18.08 +120.4% | $9.74 +18.7% | 40.0% | +82.6% | $8.20 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 45.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 45.0% $13.76 Moonrise 2.0% $5.38 Lionfish 2.0% $3.81 SWAG-7 2.0% $1.78 Wild Six 2.0% $1.48 | $38.92 +90.2% | $23.98 +17.2% | 45.0% | +66.0% | $20.46 | — |