The Revolution Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Cyberforce
1x $0.16
Re.built
2x $0.17
Dark Sigil
1x $0.17
Hideout
2x $0.18
Slag
1x $0.19
Light Box
3x $0.20
↓
Possible Outputs
Block-18
14.0% $4.19
Sakkaku
6.0% $2.65
Etch Lord
14.0% $2.49
Analog Input
14.0% $1.97
Emphorosaur-S
6.0% $1.82
Just Smile
14.0% $1.51
Max Win
$4.19 (+120.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.11 (+10.9%)
Win %
48.0%
Volatility
+50.8%
Cost
$1.90
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.90
Ask Price EV $2.11 (+10.9%)
Bid Price EV $1.94 (+2.2%)
Ask Profit $0.21 (+10.9%)
Bid Profit $0.04 (+2.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.17 (+8.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.21
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.04
Risk
Win Probability 48.0%
Loss Probability 52.0%
Best Case $4.19 (+120.6%)
Worst Case $0.80 (-57.7%)
Volatility +50.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 18.0%
Avg Win +$0.95
Avg Loss -$0.48
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.80 (-57.7%)
Std Dev $0.96
Avg Norm Float 0.2229
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 138h 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 26M 04S //TOTAL COST $1.90 //ASK PRICE EV $2.11 //BID PRICE EV $1.94 //ASK PROFIT $0.21 (+10.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.04 (+2.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 48.0% //BEST CASE $4.19 //VOLATILITY +50.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$4.19
+$2.29
+120.6%
$3.88
+$1.98
+104.2%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN
6.0%
$2.65
+$0.75
+39.7%
$2.41
+$0.51
+26.8%
$0.24
9.2%
—
WIN
14.0%
$2.49
+$0.59
+31.1%
$2.18
+$0.28
+14.7%
$0.31
12.4%
—
PAPER WIN
14.0%
$1.97
+$0.07
+3.7%
$1.86
-$0.04
-2.1%
$0.11
5.6%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.82
-$0.08
-4.2%
$1.79
-$0.11
-5.8%
$0.03
1.7%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.51
-$0.39
-20.5%
$1.43
-$0.47
-24.7%
$0.08
5.4%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.43
-$0.47
-24.7%
$1.39
-$0.51
-26.8%
$0.04
2.9%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.40
-$0.50
-26.1%
$1.22
-$0.68
-35.8%
$0.18
13.1%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.38
-$0.52
-27.4%
$1.11
-$0.79
-41.6%
$0.27
19.6%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.80
-$1.10
-57.7%
$0.77
-$1.13
-59.5%
$0.03
4.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.22291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.431,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:08:45.062235Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14976765625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.22291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.49,
"optimistic_value": 2.49,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:08:58.195695Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.22291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.5110000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.49,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:03.516574Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1379500826,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9705,
"optimistic_value": 1.96,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:03:54.483836Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1671825,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.38,
"optimistic_value": 1.38,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:57.002230Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.17832800000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 1.8210000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.8,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 1.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:56.308257Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.33928780000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.133746,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.4035,
"optimistic_value": 1.4,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:38.093299Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.22291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.8035,
"optimistic_value": 0.8,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:28.408083Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_165f4219d8883c6abfecfd8e",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "520872035662184676",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:52.350985Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "499479989896352821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:40.720793Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976338031886434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:40.720793Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "502857689862166372",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:37.883560Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "528753387756713457",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:21.683034Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:29.882392Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:21.683034Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "499479989896279453",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:51:22.179561Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116523130036718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:51:22.179561Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:51:22.179561Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:3+collection-set-community-33:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Just Smile 14.0% $3.31 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +69.8% | $3.10 +18.3% | 74.0% | +27.0% | $2.62 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 Just Smile 16.0% $3.32 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 4.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +66.6% | $3.17 +18.8% | 56.0% | +25.9% | $2.67 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $4.12 Just Smile 18.0% $3.31 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 2.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +62.3% | $3.24 +18.3% | 58.0% | +24.4% | $2.74 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Just Smile 12.0% $3.31 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +72.4% | $3.03 +17.3% | 72.0% | +28.0% | $2.58 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Just Smile 10.0% $3.31 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +73.7% | $2.95 +15.2% | 70.0% | +28.7% | $2.56 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Just Smile 8.0% $3.31 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +75.8% | $2.88 +13.7% | 68.0% | +29.2% | $2.53 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  30.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Duality  3.3% $9.41 Olympus  30.0% $8.96 Wild Child  3.3% $5.57 Wicked Sick  3.3% $5.23 | $23.51 +83.1% | $14.89 +15.9% | 60.0% | +49.2% | $12.84 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Inheritance  15.0% $228.37 Temukau  35.0% $126.64 Chrome Cannon  15.0% $64.35 Head Shot  35.0% $46.53 | $228.37 +147.2% | $104.52 +13.1% | 50.0% | +67.5% | $92.38 | — |