The Revolution Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Cyberforce
1x $0.37
Fragments
1x $0.92
Re.built
1x $1.88
Slag
1x $0.38
Dezastre
3x $0.40
Light Box
1x $0.76
↓
Possible Outputs
Etch Lord
14.0% $13.06
Emphorosaur-S
6.0% $11.80
Just Smile
14.0% $9.42
Block-18
14.0% $8.90
Banana Cannon
6.0% $8.09
Hybrid
14.0% $8.01
Max Win
$13.06 (+60.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.08 (-1.0%)
Win %
48.0%
Volatility
+38.6%
Cost
$8.16
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $8.16
Ask Price EV $8.08 (-1.0%)
Bid Price EV $7.18 (-12.0%)
Ask Profit $-0.08 (-1.0%)
Bid Profit $-0.98 (-12.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.90 (+11.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.08
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.98
Risk
Win Probability 48.0%
Loss Probability 52.0%
Best Case $13.06 (+60.0%)
Worst Case $2.65 (-67.5%)
Volatility +38.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 26.0%
Avg Win +$2.47
Avg Loss -$2.43
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.65 (-67.5%)
Std Dev $3.15
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 139h 15m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.48 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Minimal Wear
$0.76 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Factory New
$1.51 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 52S //TOTAL COST $8.16 //ASK PRICE EV $8.08 //BID PRICE EV $7.18 //ASK PROFIT $-0.08 (-1.0%) //BID PROFIT $-0.98 (-12.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 48.0% //BEST CASE $13.06 //VOLATILITY +38.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$13.06
+$4.90
+60.0%
$12.03
+$3.87
+47.4%
$1.03
7.9%
—
WIN
6.0%
$11.80
+$3.64
+44.7%
$10.16
+$2.00
+24.5%
$1.64
13.9%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$9.42
+$1.26
+15.4%
$7.84
-$0.32
-3.9%
$1.58
16.8%
—
PAPER WIN
14.0%
$8.90
+$0.74
+9.0%
$7.77
-$0.39
-4.8%
$1.13
12.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$8.09
-$0.07
-0.8%
$6.67
-$1.49
-18.3%
$1.42
17.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$8.01
-$0.15
-1.9%
$7.43
-$0.73
-8.9%
$0.58
7.2%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$7.14
-$1.02
-12.5%
$6.18
-$1.98
-24.3%
$0.96
13.5%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$4.23
-$3.93
-48.1%
$4.02
-$4.14
-50.7%
$0.21
5.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$3.25
-$4.91
-60.2%
$3.08
-$5.08
-62.3%
$0.17
5.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$2.65
-$5.51
-67.5%
$2.41
-$5.75
-70.5%
$0.24
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0699,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 8.005,
"optimistic_value": 7.9,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 7.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:31.607846Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0469640625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 8.897,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 7.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.653469Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0699,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 13.056999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.35,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 12.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.589744Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0699,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 9.418000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 9.39,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 7.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:37.365310Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.043258314,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 4.234,
"optimistic_value": 4.22,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 4.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:57.454198Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.052425,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 7.144,
"optimistic_value": 6.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:25.324869Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.055920000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.250542,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.04194,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.251,
"optimistic_value": 3.23,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:41.443601Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.0699,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 8.092,
"optimistic_value": 7.98,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 6.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:38:58.982927Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_165f4219d8883c6abfecfd8e",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "502857689861700028",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:36.812771Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "519746135815340612",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:28.908856Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "521997822479792454",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:04.678932Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:19.892444Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "517494336190256890",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:59.915753Z"
},
{
"price": 0.48,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "636838417157749708",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:59.915753Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "515241791654317225",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:59.915753Z"
},
{
"price": 0.76,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "622201718386433724",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:07:13.624713Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "514115891832272466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:09:19.654082Z"
},
{
"price": 1.51,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "519746022669746780",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:48:00.863921Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:3+collection-set-community-33:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Just Smile 14.0% $3.31 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +69.8% | $3.10 +18.3% | 74.0% | +27.0% | $2.62 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 Etch Lord 14.0% $2.49 Analog Input 14.0% $1.97 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $1.82 Just Smile 14.0% $1.51 | $4.19 +120.6% | $2.11 +10.9% | 48.0% | +44.1% | $1.90 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 Just Smile 16.0% $3.32 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 4.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +66.6% | $3.17 +18.8% | 56.0% | +25.9% | $2.67 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $4.12 Just Smile 18.0% $3.31 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 2.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +62.3% | $3.24 +18.3% | 58.0% | +24.4% | $2.74 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Just Smile 12.0% $3.31 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +72.4% | $3.03 +17.3% | 72.0% | +28.0% | $2.58 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Just Smile 10.0% $3.31 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +73.7% | $2.95 +15.2% | 70.0% | +28.7% | $2.56 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Just Smile 8.0% $3.31 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +75.8% | $2.88 +13.7% | 68.0% | +29.2% | $2.53 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  30.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Duality  3.3% $9.41 Olympus  30.0% $8.96 Wild Child  3.3% $5.57 Wicked Sick  3.3% $5.23 | $23.51 +83.1% | $14.89 +15.9% | 60.0% | +49.2% | $12.84 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Inheritance  15.0% $228.37 Temukau  35.0% $126.64 Chrome Cannon  15.0% $64.35 Head Shot  35.0% $46.53 | $228.37 +147.2% | $104.52 +13.1% | 50.0% | +67.5% | $92.38 | — |