The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Dark Sigil
3x $0.15
Slag
1x $0.16
Motorized
4x $0.17
Light Box
1x $0.21
Hypnosis
1x $0.43
↓
Possible Outputs
Saibā Oni
2.0% $8.54
Turbine
2.0% $5.05
Rapid Transit
2.0% $4.35
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Hydro Strike
2.0% $2.89
Etch Lord
18.0% $2.30
Max Win
$8.54 (+271.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.52 (+9.6%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+59.4%
Cost
$2.30
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.30
Ask Price EV $2.52 (+9.6%)
Bid Price EV $2.32 (+0.9%)
Ask Profit $0.22 (+9.6%)
Bid Profit $0.02 (+0.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.20 (+8.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.22
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.02
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $8.54 (+271.3%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-37.2%)
Volatility +59.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$1.30
Avg Loss -$0.63
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-37.2%)
Std Dev $1.37
Avg Norm Float 0.2222
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 147h 25m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 23M 16S //TOTAL COST $2.30 //ASK PRICE EV $2.52 //BID PRICE EV $2.32 //ASK PROFIT $0.22 (+9.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.02 (+0.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $8.54 //VOLATILITY +59.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.0%
$8.54
+$6.24
+271.3%
$7.91
+$5.61
+243.9%
$0.63
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
2.0%
$5.05
+$2.75
+119.4%
$4.30
+$2.00
+87.0%
$0.75
14.8%
—
BIG WIN
2.0%
$4.35
+$2.05
+89.0%
$4.00
+$1.70
+73.9%
$0.35
8.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.89
+82.2%
$3.88
+$1.58
+68.7%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN
2.0%
$2.89
+$0.59
+25.6%
$2.42
+$0.12
+5.2%
$0.47
16.2%
—
PAPER WIN
18.0%
$2.30
+$0.00
+0.2%
$2.08
-$0.22
-9.6%
$0.22
9.7%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.98
-$0.32
-13.8%
$1.85
-$0.45
-19.6%
$0.13
6.6%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$1.86
-$0.44
-18.9%
$1.75
-$0.55
-23.9%
$0.11
6.1%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.56
-$0.74
-32.2%
$1.43
-$0.87
-37.8%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.44
-$0.86
-37.2%
$1.39
-$0.91
-39.6%
$0.05
3.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.22216,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.444,
"optimistic_value": 1.43,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:07:06.690828Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14926375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.22216,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.3035,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:31.279324Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.22216,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1374859376,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9815,
"optimistic_value": 1.95,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:35.007632Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.17804302287999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 2.8895,
"optimistic_value": 2.83,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 2.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:36:34.261485Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.188836,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 5.046,
"optimistic_value": 4.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 4.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:47.711215Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.1466256,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 8.539000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 7.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:51.999651Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.16662,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 1.8645,
"optimistic_value": 1.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 1.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:03:51.006179Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.16662,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 4.3475,
"optimistic_value": 4.33,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:01.887508Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_14fff711499b38c83a6099d2",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "521997988016510322",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:46.018435Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "526501587737921273",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:52.036881Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "515242588555479121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:26:14.375579Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "515242588555472641",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:46.018435Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "520872088107454116",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:26:14.375579Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "506235389470549452",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:26:14.375579Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "518620288314777880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:38.013133Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "505109489448921836",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:00.907125Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "525375522204066055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:14.372932Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "510738989041246858",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:19:58.104820Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:9+collection-set-community-34:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 2.0% $14.22 Turbine 2.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 2.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 2.0% $6.39 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +324.6% | $3.91 +16.7% | 46.0% | +62.3% | $3.35 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +240.3% | $5.10 +22.0% | 52.0% | +85.4% | $4.18 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +289.7% | $4.40 +20.6% | 44.0% | +92.4% | $3.65 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Randy Rush 10.0% $3.93 | $14.22 +197.6% | $5.75 +20.2% | 40.0% | +77.4% | $4.78 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 | $14.22 +277.3% | $4.52 +19.9% | 52.0% | +71.9% | $3.77 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Randy Rush 12.0% $3.93 | $14.22 +162.4% | $6.43 +18.7% | 48.0% | +69.0% | $5.42 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $14.22 Turbine 14.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 14.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 14.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 14.0% $4.44 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +125.1% | $7.20 +13.9% | 56.0% | +57.9% | $6.32 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Gallery Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 18.0% $36.14 Turbine 18.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 18.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 18.0% $16.76 Randy Rush 18.0% $9.60 Block-18 2.0% $8.90 | $36.14 +86.1% | $21.55 +11.0% | 36.0% | +54.2% | $19.42 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | The Outsiders  3.3% $30.72 Black Lotus  30.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Neo-Noir  3.3% $13.26 Epicenter  3.3% $12.47 Olympus  30.0% $8.56 | $30.72 +119.1% | $15.97 +13.9% | 63.3% | +46.1% | $14.02 | — |