The Sport & Field Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Wildwood
4x $0.09
Tiger Tear
1x $0.07
Marsh
2x $0.07
Leafhopper
2x $0.08
Acid Dart
1x $0.16
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen
12.0% $4.61
Tropical Breeze
12.0% $1.82
Alpine Camo
10.0% $1.50
Zeno
10.0% $1.25
Small Game
10.0% $1.22
Yorkshire
10.0% $0.73
Max Win
$4.61 (+311.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.39 (+24.0%)
Win %
54.0%
Volatility
+115.1%
Cost
$1.12
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.12
Ask Price EV $1.39 (+24.0%)
Bid Price EV $1.23 (+9.9%)
Ask Profit $0.27 (+24.0%)
Bid Profit $0.11 (+9.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.16 (+14.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.27
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.11
Risk
Win Probability 54.0%
Loss Probability 46.0%
Best Case $4.61 (+311.6%)
Worst Case $0.38 (-66.3%)
Volatility +115.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 46.0%
Avg Win +$1.04
Avg Loss -$0.64
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.38 (-66.3%)
Std Dev $1.29
Avg Norm Float 0.1997
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 116h 21m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Field-Tested
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 33M 01S //TOTAL COST $1.12 //ASK PRICE EV $1.39 //BID PRICE EV $1.23 //ASK PROFIT $0.27 (+24.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.11 (+9.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 54.0% //BEST CASE $4.61 //VOLATILITY +115.1% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$4.61
+$3.49
+311.6%
$3.81
+$2.69
+240.2%
$0.80
17.4%
—
BIG WIN
12.0%
$1.82
+$0.70
+62.6%
$1.70
+$0.58
+51.8%
$0.12
6.6%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.50
+$0.38
+34.0%
$1.41
+$0.29
+25.9%
$0.09
6.0%
—
SMALL WIN
10.0%
$1.25
+$0.13
+11.4%
$1.16
+$0.04
+3.6%
$0.09
7.1%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$1.22
+$0.10
+8.7%
$1.10
-$0.02
-1.8%
$0.12
9.6%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$0.73
-$0.39
-35.1%
$0.66
-$0.46
-41.1%
$0.07
9.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.45
-$0.67
-60.0%
$0.41
-$0.71
-63.4%
$0.04
8.4%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.41
-$0.71
-63.3%
$0.38
-$0.74
-66.1%
$0.03
7.4%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.38
-$0.74
-66.3%
$0.35
-$0.77
-68.8%
$0.03
7.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.149775,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.135796,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.4475,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:15.022042Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.11981999999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:54.653511Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.109835,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 1.821,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.839903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.11981999999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 0.3775,
"optimistic_value": 0.36,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 0.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:57.311353Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 0.727,
"optimistic_value": 0.72,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:42:01.582746Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13978999999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 1.2169999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.21,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 1.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:52.034637Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13978999999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 1.248,
"optimistic_value": 1.22,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:17:31.223866Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.135796,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 1.5005,
"optimistic_value": 1.49,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:59.832167Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_11aae627a41cc2c17220e897",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "509613089304016623",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:07:09.565565Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "759553194072536155",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:07:09.565565Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "496102290329319251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:57.683923Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "524249787960626955",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:57.683923Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "497228190140829245",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:09:04.630469Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "527627487624253760",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:29.514443Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "502856892559649080",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:29.514443Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "519746135814788696",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:17:14.808804Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789044843799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:51.377801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "503983423971210091",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:52.504292Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-realism-camo:4+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Wintergreen 12.0% $10.66 Alpine Camo 10.0% $5.23 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $3.67 Small Game 10.0% $3.66 Zeno 10.0% $3.61 Gold Leaf 12.0% $1.57 | $10.66 +229.0% | $3.69 +13.8% | 54.0% | +79.4% | $3.24 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 18.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $1.82 Alpine Camo 2.5% $1.50 Zeno 2.5% $1.25 Small Game 2.5% $1.22 Yorkshire 2.5% $0.73 | $4.61 +308.0% | $1.50 +32.5% | 43.5% | +118.1% | $1.13 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 Alpine Camo 5.0% $1.50 Zeno 5.0% $1.27 Small Game 5.0% $1.13 Yorkshire 5.0% $0.73 | $4.61 +308.0% | $1.46 +29.5% | 42.0% | +113.3% | $1.13 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $1.82 Alpine Camo 7.5% $1.50 Zeno 7.5% $1.25 Small Game 7.5% $1.22 Yorkshire 7.5% $0.73 | $4.61 +315.3% | $1.43 +28.4% | 50.5% | +109.8% | $1.11 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 10.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 10.0% $1.82 Alpine Camo 12.5% $1.50 Zeno 12.5% $1.25 Small Game 12.5% $1.22 Yorkshire 12.5% $0.73 | $4.61 +304.4% | $1.35 +18.7% | 57.5% | +93.6% | $1.14 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 8.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 8.0% $1.82 Alpine Camo 15.0% $1.50 Zeno 15.0% $1.25 Small Game 15.0% $1.21 Yorkshire 15.0% $0.73 | $4.61 +308.0% | $1.32 +16.4% | 61.0% | +86.2% | $1.13 | — |