The Sport & Field Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Wildwood
2x $0.18
Cold Cell
2x $0.42
Leafhopper
1x $0.18
Polished Malachite
1x $0.31
Garter-9
1x $0.53
Mustard Gas
1x $0.80
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen
12.0% $10.66
Yorkshire
10.0% $6.77
Alpine Camo
10.0% $5.26
Tropical Breeze
12.0% $3.67
Small Game
10.0% $3.66
Zeno
10.0% $3.54
Max Win
$10.66 (+91.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.20 (-24.4%)
Win %
22.0%
Volatility
+52.1%
Cost
$5.56
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.56
Ask Price EV $4.20 (-24.4%)
Bid Price EV $3.90 (-29.8%)
Ask Profit $-1.36 (-24.4%)
Bid Profit $-1.66 (-29.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.30 (+5.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.36
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.66
Risk
Win Probability 22.0%
Loss Probability 78.0%
Best Case $10.66 (+91.7%)
Worst Case $1.53 (-72.4%)
Volatility +52.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 68.0%
Avg Win +$3.33
Avg Loss -$2.68
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.53 (-72.4%)
Std Dev $2.90
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 26m
Oldest Output Price 117h 20m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Factory New
$0.53 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 23M 58S //TOTAL COST $5.56 //ASK PRICE EV $4.20 //BID PRICE EV $3.90 //ASK PROFIT $-1.36 (-24.4%) //BID PROFIT $-1.66 (-29.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 22.0% //BEST CASE $10.66 //VOLATILITY +52.1% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.0%
$10.66
+$5.10
+91.7%
$9.81
+$4.25
+76.4%
$0.85
8.0%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$6.77
+$1.21
+21.7%
$6.41
+$0.85
+15.3%
$0.36
5.3%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$5.26
-$0.30
-5.4%
$5.02
-$0.54
-9.7%
$0.24
4.5%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$3.67
-$1.89
-34.0%
$3.64
-$1.92
-34.5%
$0.03
0.8%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$3.66
-$1.90
-34.2%
$3.28
-$2.28
-41.0%
$0.38
10.4%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$3.54
-$2.02
-36.3%
$3.31
-$2.25
-40.5%
$0.23
6.6%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.57
-$3.99
-71.7%
$1.28
-$4.28
-77.0%
$0.29
18.6%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.56
-$4.00
-72.0%
$1.27
-$4.29
-77.2%
$0.29
18.6%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.53
-$4.03
-72.4%
$1.52
-$4.04
-72.7%
$0.01
0.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.052425,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 10.66,
"optimistic_value": 10.66,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 9.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:10.267254Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.047532000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 1.5335,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:29.111274Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.04194,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 1.572,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:14:51.732780Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.03844500000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 3.671,
"optimistic_value": 3.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 3.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.367595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.04194,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 1.5594999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 1.27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:31.687833Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0699,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 6.7675,
"optimistic_value": 6.75,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 6.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:47.777547Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.04893,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 3.661,
"optimistic_value": 3.64,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 3.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:27.850798Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.04893,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 3.5445,
"optimistic_value": 3.45,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 3.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:56:33.639434Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.047532000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 5.2575,
"optimistic_value": 5.24,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 5.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:08:03.811653Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_11aae627a41cc2c17220e897",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "500605889841126335",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:03:54.783538Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "516368322945843962",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:03:54.783538Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "499479989895985801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:59:09.018058Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "509613036859504155",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:59:09.018058Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "521997988015820706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:11:08.018834Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"listing_id": "507361289452005421",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:16:28.650964Z"
},
{
"price": 0.53,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "502857689862568636",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:11.456871Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "502857689861815552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:05.235613Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625091045239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:13.242596Z"
},
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625090884103",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:13.242596Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-realism-camo:4+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 12.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $1.82 Alpine Camo 10.0% $1.47 Zeno 10.0% $1.21 Small Game 10.0% $1.21 Yorkshire 10.0% $0.73 | $4.61 +319.1% | $1.38 +25.8% | 54.0% | +104.5% | $1.10 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Wintergreen 12.0% $10.66 Alpine Camo 10.0% $5.26 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $3.67 Small Game 10.0% $3.66 Zeno 10.0% $3.54 Gold Leaf 12.0% $1.57 | $10.66 +234.2% | $3.68 +15.4% | 54.0% | +80.7% | $3.19 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 Alpine Camo 5.0% $1.47 Zeno 5.0% $1.22 Small Game 5.0% $1.21 Yorkshire 5.0% $0.73 | $4.61 +315.3% | $1.46 +31.4% | 47.0% | +115.5% | $1.11 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $1.82 Alpine Camo 7.5% $1.47 Zeno 7.5% $1.21 Small Game 7.5% $1.21 Yorkshire 7.5% $0.73 | $4.61 +319.1% | $1.42 +29.3% | 50.5% | +110.9% | $1.10 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 10.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 10.0% $1.82 Alpine Camo 12.5% $1.47 Zeno 12.5% $1.21 Small Game 12.5% $1.21 Yorkshire 12.5% $0.73 | $4.61 +315.3% | $1.35 +21.2% | 57.5% | +96.3% | $1.11 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 8.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 8.0% $1.82 Alpine Camo 15.0% $1.47 Zeno 15.0% $1.21 Small Game 15.0% $1.21 Yorkshire 15.0% $0.73 | $4.61 +308.0% | $1.31 +15.7% | 61.0% | +86.3% | $1.13 | — |