The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Re.built
1x $0.14
Rebel
1x $0.14
Fragments
1x $0.26
Aeolian Light
4x $0.38
The Daily Deagle
1x $0.46
Grip Tape
2x $0.85
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
35.0% $12.25
Trace Lock
35.0% $4.45
Sakkaku
6.0% $1.44
Umbral Rabbit
6.0% $1.39
Neoqueen
6.0% $1.04
Emphorosaur-S
6.0% $0.75
Max Win
$12.25 (+152.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.16 (+27.0%)
Win %
35.0%
Volatility
+96.3%
Cost
$4.85
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.85
Ask Price EV $6.16 (+27.0%)
Bid Price EV $5.70 (+17.6%)
Ask Profit $1.31 (+27.0%)
Bid Profit $0.85 (+17.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.46 (+9.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.31
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.85
Risk
Win Probability 35.0%
Loss Probability 65.0%
Best Case $12.25 (+152.5%)
Worst Case $0.67 (-86.2%)
Volatility +96.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$7.40
Avg Loss -$1.96
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.67 (-86.2%)
Std Dev $4.67
Avg Norm Float 0.1997
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 140h 54m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 03S //TOTAL COST $4.85 //ASK PRICE EV $6.16 //BID PRICE EV $5.70 //ASK PROFIT $1.31 (+27.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.85 (+17.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 35.0% //BEST CASE $12.25 //VOLATILITY +96.3% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
35.0%
$12.25
+$7.40
+152.5%
$11.36
+$6.51
+134.2%
$0.89
7.2%
—
LOSS
35.0%
$4.45
-$0.40
-8.2%
$4.10
-$0.75
-15.5%
$0.35
7.9%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.44
-$3.41
-70.3%
$1.42
-$3.43
-70.7%
$0.02
1.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$1.39
-$3.46
-71.3%
$1.19
-$3.66
-75.5%
$0.20
14.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.04
-$3.81
-78.7%
$0.93
-$3.92
-80.8%
$0.11
10.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.75
-$4.10
-84.6%
$0.70
-$4.15
-85.6%
$0.05
6.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.67
-$4.18
-86.2%
$0.62
-$4.23
-87.2%
$0.05
7.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.14978249999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.245000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.14,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 11.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:15.007591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.13979699999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.454000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 4.44,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:43.836405Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14978249999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.39,
"optimistic_value": 1.39,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:47.325767Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.15976800000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 0.7475,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T18:33:49.520496Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.3258318,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.44,
"optimistic_value": 1.44,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:14:29.979912Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.11982599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.0350000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:36:27.079743Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19971,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.6705,
"optimistic_value": 0.66,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:57:33.830497Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0db049e59ea3cc73a3a78d96",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "518619491424619600",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:29.589930Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "518619491429205748",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:08.636466Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "497228190141522857",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:04.453608Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "497228190141529805",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:40.140144Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "497228190141160121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:40.140144Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "491598690699020822",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:45.054480Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "525375635594525443",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:40.140144Z"
},
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "492724590626126853",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:28.913662Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "524249735517932847",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:19.617311Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "506235337025136948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:19.617311Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:3+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 35.0% $26.93 Trace Lock 35.0% $15.24 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 6.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 6.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $1.57 | $26.93 +114.7% | $15.48 +23.5% | 70.0% | +73.8% | $12.54 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Breakthrough 35.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 35.0% $2.16 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $0.74 Sakkaku 6.0% $0.64 Neoqueen 6.0% $0.63 | $5.85 +117.5% | $3.01 +11.8% | 35.0% | +77.7% | $2.69 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 20.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 20.0% $4.57 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +312.3% | $4.00 +34.8% | 40.0% | +141.0% | $2.97 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.51 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.03 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +242.0% | $4.71 +31.7% | 50.0% | +122.7% | $3.58 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 30.0% $4.45 Sakkaku 8.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 8.0% $1.04 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +190.9% | $5.43 +29.0% | 60.0% | +106.5% | $4.21 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 15.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 15.0% $4.51 Sakkaku 14.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 14.0% $1.03 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +374.6% | $3.25 +26.0% | 30.0% | +149.5% | $2.58 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.57 Sakkaku 4.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 4.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +121.8% | $6.94 +25.7% | 40.0% | +78.7% | $5.52 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.57 Sakkaku 2.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 2.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +97.2% | $7.67 +23.6% | 45.0% | +66.7% | $6.21 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | The End  40.0% $27.17 Wild Child  20.0% $5.70 Duality  20.0% $5.38 Wicked Sick  20.0% $5.38 | $27.17 +131.6% | $14.16 +20.7% | 40.0% | +90.6% | $11.73 | — |