The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Re.built
1x $0.43
Featherweight
1x $1.63
Cyberforce
1x $2.13
Creep
3x $1.43
Aeolian Light
2x $2.00
Grip Tape
1x $2.18
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
35.0% $26.93
Trace Lock
35.0% $14.83
Banana Cannon
6.0% $9.06
Emphorosaur-S
6.0% $5.76
Umbral Rabbit
6.0% $4.30
Neoqueen
6.0% $3.17
Max Win
$26.93 (+43.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$16.04 (-14.5%)
Win %
35.0%
Volatility
+48.3%
Cost
$18.77
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $18.77
Ask Price EV $16.04 (-14.5%)
Bid Price EV $15.34 (-18.3%)
Ask Profit $-2.73 (-14.5%)
Bid Profit $-3.43 (-18.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.70 (+3.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.73
Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.43
Risk
Win Probability 35.0%
Loss Probability 65.0%
Best Case $26.93 (+43.5%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-92.3%)
Volatility +48.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$8.16
Avg Loss -$8.59
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-92.3%)
Std Dev $9.07
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 3h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Featherweight
—
Factory New
$1.63 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$2.13 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$1.43 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$1.98 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Factory New
$2.00 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Factory New
$2.11 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Factory New
$2.18 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Factory New
$3.00 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 32M 44S //TOTAL COST $18.77 //ASK PRICE EV $16.04 //BID PRICE EV $15.34 //ASK PROFIT $-2.73 (-14.5%) //BID PROFIT $-3.43 (-18.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 35.0% //BEST CASE $26.93 //VOLATILITY +48.3% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
35.0%
$26.93
+$8.16
+43.5%
$26.63
+$7.86
+41.9%
$0.30
1.1%
—
LOSS
35.0%
$14.83
-$3.94
-21.0%
$13.15
-$5.62
-29.9%
$1.68
11.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$9.06
-$9.71
-51.7%
$9.05
-$9.72
-51.8%
$0.01
0.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$5.76
-$13.01
-69.3%
$5.70
-$13.07
-69.6%
$0.06
1.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$4.30
-$14.47
-77.1%
$4.29
-$14.48
-77.1%
$0.01
0.2%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$3.17
-$15.60
-83.1%
$3.16
-$15.61
-83.2%
$0.01
0.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.44
-$17.33
-92.3%
$1.42
-$17.35
-92.4%
$0.02
1.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.05226,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 26.926499999999997,
"optimistic_value": 26.72,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 26.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:41:55.655672Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.048776,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 14.8345,
"optimistic_value": 14.81,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 13.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:21.518147Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.05226,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 4.3,
"optimistic_value": 4.3,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 4.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:51.796925Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.05574400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 5.764,
"optimistic_value": 5.75,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 5.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:59.448219Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.2504144,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.44,
"optimistic_value": 1.44,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:52:27.189326Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.041808000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.17,
"optimistic_value": 3.17,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:20.791821Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 9.06,
"optimistic_value": 9.06,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 9.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:33:49.728398Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0db049e59ea3cc73a3a78d96",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "497228137695378905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:45:05.477296Z"
},
{
"price": 1.63,
"skin_id": "skin-2f564d56b7ff",
"listing_id": "517494222851162194",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Featherweight (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Featherweight",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f564d56b7ff.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:55.486232Z"
},
{
"price": 2.13,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "509612923502423571",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:53.945038Z"
},
{
"price": 1.43,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "507361289453312365",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:19.777284Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "524248990833803271",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:19.777284Z"
},
{
"price": 1.98,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "653726915754482667",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:19.777284Z"
},
{
"price": 2,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "520872088106386248",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:27.408216Z"
},
{
"price": 2.11,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "510738989040662074",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:27.408216Z"
},
{
"price": 2.18,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "520872088106613300",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:46.808216Z"
},
{
"price": 3,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "506235389469302484",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:59.999027Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:3+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.48 Sakkaku 6.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $1.33 Neoqueen 6.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +143.4% | $6.17 +22.6% | 35.0% | +88.9% | $5.03 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 35.0% $26.93 Trace Lock 35.0% $14.83 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 6.0% $3.17 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $1.62 Banana Cannon 6.0% $1.61 | $26.93 +111.5% | $15.34 +20.5% | 70.0% | +72.8% | $12.73 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Breakthrough 35.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 35.0% $2.24 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $0.74 Neoqueen 6.0% $0.70 Banana Cannon 6.0% $0.65 | $5.85 +116.7% | $3.04 +12.6% | 35.0% | +76.7% | $2.70 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Breakthrough 35.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 35.0% $2.24 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $0.74 Neoqueen 6.0% $0.70 Banana Cannon 6.0% $0.64 | $5.85 +115.1% | $3.04 +11.7% | 35.0% | +76.2% | $2.72 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 20.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 20.0% $4.48 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.28 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.03 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +305.5% | $3.96 +31.2% | 40.0% | +139.2% | $3.02 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.51 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +225.7% | $4.71 +25.3% | 50.0% | +116.9% | $3.76 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.48 Sakkaku 4.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $1.28 Neoqueen 4.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +121.4% | $6.90 +24.7% | 40.0% | +79.0% | $5.53 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 15.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 15.0% $4.51 Sakkaku 14.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 14.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +369.2% | $3.25 +24.5% | 30.0% | +147.9% | $2.61 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 30.0% $4.51 Sakkaku 8.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $1.33 Neoqueen 8.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +178.9% | $5.45 +24.1% | 60.0% | +102.0% | $4.39 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 45.0% $26.93 Trace Lock 45.0% $15.24 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 2.0% $3.17 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $1.64 Banana Cannon 2.0% $1.61 | $26.93 +72.4% | $19.22 +23.0% | 45.0% | +47.8% | $15.62 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | The End  40.0% $27.17 Wild Child  20.0% $5.70 Duality  20.0% $5.38 Wicked Sick  20.0% $5.38 | $27.17 +131.6% | $14.16 +20.7% | 40.0% | +90.6% | $11.73 | — |