The Sport & Field Collection ×3+The Harlequin Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Wildwood
1x $0.17
Cold Cell
2x $0.41
Banana Leaf
4x $0.16
Coral Paisley
2x $0.21
XoooM
1x $0.34
↓
Possible Outputs
Fraise Crane
17.5% $6.16
Alpine Camo
7.5% $5.12
Zeno
7.5% $3.65
Small Game
7.5% $3.55
Sky Mandala
17.5% $3.47
Earth Mandala
17.5% $2.30
Max Win
$6.16 (+116.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.52 (+24.1%)
Win %
57.5%
Volatility
+52.7%
Cost
$2.84
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.84
Ask Price EV $3.52 (+24.1%)
Bid Price EV $3.45 (+21.3%)
Ask Profit $0.68 (+24.1%)
Bid Profit $0.61 (+21.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.08 (+2.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.68
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.61
Risk
Win Probability 57.5%
Loss Probability 42.5%
Best Case $6.16 (+116.8%)
Worst Case $1.54 (-45.8%)
Volatility +52.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 7.5%
Avg Win +$1.70
Avg Loss -$0.68
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.54 (-45.8%)
Std Dev $1.50
Avg Norm Float 0.0994
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 7h 43m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | XoooM
—
Factory New
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 34M 19S //TOTAL COST $2.84 //ASK PRICE EV $3.52 //BID PRICE EV $3.45 //ASK PROFIT $0.68 (+24.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.61 (+21.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 57.5% //BEST CASE $6.16 //VOLATILITY +52.7% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
17.5%
$6.16
+$3.32
+116.8%
$6.12
+$3.28
+115.5%
$0.04
0.6%
—
BIG WIN
7.5%
$5.12
+$2.28
+80.3%
$5.08
+$2.24
+78.9%
$0.04
0.8%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
7.5%
$3.65
+$0.81
+28.5%
$3.31
+$0.47
+16.5%
$0.34
9.3%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
7.5%
$3.55
+$0.71
+25.0%
$3.28
+$0.44
+15.5%
$0.27
7.6%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
17.5%
$3.47
+$0.63
+22.1%
$3.42
+$0.58
+20.4%
$0.05
1.4%
—
LOSS
17.5%
$2.30
-$0.54
-18.9%
$2.25
-$0.59
-20.8%
$0.05
2.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
17.5%
$2.27
-$0.57
-19.9%
$2.25
-$0.59
-20.8%
$0.02
1.1%
—
NUKE
7.5%
$1.54
-$1.30
-45.8%
$1.52
-$1.32
-46.5%
$0.02
1.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.06461650000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 6.1579999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 6.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:00.132495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.069587,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 3.4675000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 3.45,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:07.933633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.069587,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 2.2739999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 2.26,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:07.356203Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.0656106,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 2.3035,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:07.788357Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.09941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 1.54,
"optimistic_value": 1.54,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:07.556504Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.069587,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 3.549,
"optimistic_value": 3.5,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 3.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:41.776969Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.069587,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 3.6485,
"optimistic_value": 3.61,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 3.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:46:42.456498Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.0675988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 5.12,
"optimistic_value": 5.12,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 5.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:24:03.381280Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_035e941dbda63790df9d185c",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "502857742726308376",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:32.367188Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "505109489449340372",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:14:27.314101Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "499479989895985801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:14:27.314101Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "515242641501270025",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:29:23.477931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "507361237008908833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:29:23.477931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "492724538183377989",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:30:07.818109Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "509613036861256419",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:30:07.818109Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"listing_id": "518620341242882920",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:28.696921Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "509613142167371127",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:41.629177Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "526501640650770053",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:41.629177Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-realism-camo:3+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Harlequin Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Exothermic  40.0% $9.85 Arctic Tri-Tone  6.7% $6.57 Heat Treated  6.7% $6.17 Crimson Foil  6.7% $6.06 Sleeping Potion  40.0% $2.18 | $9.85 +97.8% | $6.07 +21.8% | 60.0% | +68.9% | $4.98 | — |