The Clutch Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Night Riot
2x $0.23
Urban Hazard
1x $0.29
Grip
1x $0.31
2A2F
2x $0.49
Late Night Transit
1x $0.51
Green Line
3x $0.55
↓
Possible Outputs
Whiteout
20.0% $9.67
Charged Up
20.0% $7.43
Derailment
20.0% $7.13
Moonrise
8.0% $1.28
Lionfish
8.0% $0.82
SWAG-7
8.0% $0.80
Max Win
$9.67 (+120.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.19 (+18.3%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+82.9%
Cost
$4.39
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.39
Ask Price EV $5.19 (+18.3%)
Bid Price EV $4.99 (+13.6%)
Ask Profit $0.80 (+18.3%)
Bid Profit $0.60 (+13.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.20 (+4.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.80
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.60
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $9.67 (+120.3%)
Worst Case $0.72 (-83.6%)
Volatility +82.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$3.69
Avg Loss -$3.52
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.72 (-83.6%)
Std Dev $3.64
Avg Norm Float 0.3393
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 155h 4m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Urban Hazard
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | 2A2F
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | 2A2F
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Green Line
—
Well-Worn
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Green Line
—
Well-Worn
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Green Line
—
Well-Worn
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 50M 13S //TOTAL COST $4.39 //ASK PRICE EV $5.19 //BID PRICE EV $4.99 //ASK PROFIT $0.80 (+18.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.60 (+13.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $9.67 //VOLATILITY +82.9% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$9.67
+$5.28
+120.3%
$9.66
+$5.27
+120.0%
$0.01
0.1%
—
BIG WIN
20.0%
$7.43
+$3.04
+69.2%
$7.29
+$2.90
+66.1%
$0.14
1.9%
—
BIG WIN
20.0%
$7.13
+$2.74
+62.4%
$6.40
+$2.01
+45.8%
$0.73
10.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.28
-$3.11
-70.8%
$1.16
-$3.23
-73.6%
$0.12
9.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.82
-$3.57
-81.2%
$0.81
-$3.58
-81.5%
$0.01
1.6%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.80
-$3.59
-81.8%
$0.74
-$3.65
-83.1%
$0.06
7.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.73
-$3.66
-83.4%
$0.64
-$3.75
-85.4%
$0.09
12.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.72
-$3.67
-83.6%
$0.64
-$3.75
-85.4%
$0.08
11.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.23750999999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9fc289ff7b61",
"realistic_value": 7.1295,
"optimistic_value": 7.07,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Derailment",
"conservative_value": 6.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Derailment (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:20.889065Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9fc289ff7b61.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.37894199999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"realistic_value": 9.67,
"optimistic_value": 9.67,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"conservative_value": 9.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:54.655341Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.3393,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9446ef74272b",
"realistic_value": 7.43,
"optimistic_value": 7.43,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up",
"conservative_value": 7.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:30.994038Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9446ef74272b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.220545,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 1.2805,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:37:50.800531Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.312156,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 0.7975,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 0.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:24.105472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.186615,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 0.8234999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.82,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 0.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T14:46:22.743385Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.27144,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 0.7204999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:16.299910Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.27144,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 0.7304999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.72,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:59:33.128852Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_dfb9e3eb808561fb648fa702",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "501731842662081065",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:51.614127Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "518619491434524568",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:46.181061Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-87386812a8f9",
"listing_id": "523123940969224690",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87386812a8f9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:24.133248Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "523123888073084050",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:41.531297Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
"listing_id": "515242641502083553",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:26.677869Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-d5765bdffe44",
"listing_id": "492724590627207213",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5765bdffe44.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:00.098036Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
"listing_id": "502857689862614932",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:26.677869Z"
},
{
"price": 0.55,
"skin_id": "skin-7976ca00d006",
"listing_id": "501731842662736121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Green Line (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Green Line",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7976ca00d006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:27:03.693065Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-7976ca00d006",
"listing_id": "527627540537546492",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Green Line (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Green Line",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7976ca00d006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:27:03.693065Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-7976ca00d006",
"listing_id": "498354142899910651",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Green Line (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Green Line",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7976ca00d006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:27:03.693065Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:4+collection-set-train-2025:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Whiteout 20.0% $64.86 Charged Up 20.0% $63.69 Derailment 20.0% $41.07 SWAG-7 8.0% $10.69 Arctic Wolf 8.0% $9.64 Wild Six 8.0% $6.02 | $64.86 +113.6% | $36.76 +21.0% | 60.0% | +73.3% | $30.37 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Whiteout 20.0% $64.86 Derailment 20.0% $41.33 Charged Up 20.0% $22.18 Moonrise 8.0% $5.26 Lionfish 8.0% $3.81 SWAG-7 8.0% $1.74 | $64.86 +183.4% | $26.76 +16.9% | 40.0% | +94.3% | $22.89 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Whiteout 16.7% $64.86 Charged Up 16.7% $63.69 Derailment 16.7% $41.33 SWAG-7 10.0% $10.69 Arctic Wolf 10.0% $9.64 Wild Six 10.0% $6.02 | $64.86 +137.5% | $31.86 +16.6% | 50.0% | +84.0% | $27.31 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Whiteout 13.3% $64.86 Charged Up 13.3% $63.69 Derailment 13.3% $41.33 SWAG-7 12.0% $10.69 Arctic Wolf 12.0% $9.64 Wild Six 12.0% $6.02 | $64.86 +169.1% | $26.90 +11.6% | 40.0% | +94.6% | $24.10 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish  20.0% $597.10 Latte Rush  20.0% $294.44 Cortex  20.0% $46.59 Mortis  20.0% $29.09 Stymphalian  20.0% $26.14 | $597.10 +294.6% | $198.67 +31.3% | 40.0% | +147.6% | $151.33 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Field-Tested | LongDog  20.0% $323.88 Bloodsport  40.0% $55.33 Neo-Noir  40.0% $52.93 | $323.88 +221.7% | $108.08 +7.4% | 20.0% | +107.2% | $100.68 | — |