The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Re.built
3x $0.14
Liquidation
1x $0.14
Featherweight
1x $0.27
Rebel
1x $0.28
Grip Tape
1x $0.34
Aeolian Light
2x $0.38
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
20.0% $12.25
Trace Lock
20.0% $4.59
Sakkaku
12.0% $1.44
Umbral Rabbit
12.0% $1.36
Neoqueen
12.0% $1.09
Emphorosaur-S
12.0% $0.75
Max Win
$12.25 (+310.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.00 (+34.3%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+145.9%
Cost
$2.98
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.98
Ask Price EV $4.00 (+34.3%)
Bid Price EV $3.68 (+23.3%)
Ask Profit $1.02 (+34.3%)
Bid Profit $0.70 (+23.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.33 (+11.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.02
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.70
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $12.25 (+310.9%)
Worst Case $0.67 (-77.5%)
Volatility +145.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$5.44
Avg Loss -$1.92
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.67 (-77.5%)
Std Dev $4.35
Avg Norm Float 0.1999
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 13m
Oldest Output Price 139h 52m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Liquidation
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Featherweight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 01M 42S //TOTAL COST $2.98 //ASK PRICE EV $4.00 //BID PRICE EV $3.68 //ASK PROFIT $1.02 (+34.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.70 (+23.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $12.25 //VOLATILITY +145.9% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$12.25
+$9.27
+310.9%
$11.36
+$8.38
+281.2%
$0.89
7.2%
—
BIG WIN
20.0%
$4.59
+$1.61
+53.9%
$4.10
+$1.12
+37.6%
$0.49
10.6%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.44
-$1.54
-51.7%
$1.42
-$1.56
-52.3%
$0.02
1.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$1.36
-$1.62
-54.4%
$1.19
-$1.79
-60.1%
$0.17
12.3%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.09
-$1.89
-63.3%
$0.93
-$2.05
-68.8%
$0.16
15.0%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.75
-$2.23
-74.9%
$0.70
-$2.28
-76.5%
$0.05
6.4%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.67
-$2.31
-77.5%
$0.62
-$2.36
-79.2%
$0.05
7.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.149895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.245000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.14,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 11.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:15.007591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.139902,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.587,
"optimistic_value": 4.51,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:07.603854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.149895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.3575,
"optimistic_value": 1.34,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:59.339959Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.15988800000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 0.7475,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T18:33:49.520496Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3259188,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.44,
"optimistic_value": 1.44,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:25:33.397328Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.119916,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.0935000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.09,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:38.384639Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.6705,
"optimistic_value": 0.66,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:48:26.471957Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_cfa39f2564049116f2eb5fb1",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "510738936595038790",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:48:33.113280Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-d87f89df4191",
"listing_id": "492724538183288133",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d87f89df4191.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:50.418400Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "503983589619190279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:57.575711Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-2f564d56b7ff",
"listing_id": "519746188257520316",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Featherweight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Featherweight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f564d56b7ff.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:43:15.809025Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "502857689862111688",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:18.321005Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "491598690698787182",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:57.575711Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "514116688949706378",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:43:09.170293Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "497228190141529805",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:27.519353Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "497228190141160121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:27.519353Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "491598690699020822",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:56.572012Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 20.0% $26.93 Trace Lock 20.0% $15.24 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 12.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 12.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $1.51 | $26.93 +184.3% | $9.88 +4.3% | 40.0% | +100.0% | $9.47 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.57 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +248.9% | $4.74 +35.0% | 50.0% | +124.9% | $3.51 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.59 Sakkaku 6.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $1.36 Neoqueen 6.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +164.5% | $6.21 +34.1% | 35.0% | +96.1% | $4.63 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.59 Sakkaku 4.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $1.35 Neoqueen 4.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +129.3% | $6.94 +30.0% | 40.0% | +81.3% | $5.34 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.59 Sakkaku 2.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $1.35 Neoqueen 2.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +105.1% | $7.68 +28.6% | 45.0% | +69.2% | $5.97 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 15.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 15.0% $4.59 Sakkaku 14.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $1.35 Neoqueen 14.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +380.2% | $3.27 +28.1% | 30.0% | +151.3% | $2.55 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | The End  40.0% $27.17 Wild Child  20.0% $5.70 Duality  20.0% $5.44 Wicked Sick  20.0% $5.41 | $27.17 +125.1% | $14.18 +17.5% | 40.0% | +87.9% | $12.07 | — |