The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Yorick
1x $1.39
Outbreak
1x $2.44
Bock Blocks
5x $0.74
Fusion
3x $2.46
↓
Possible Outputs
Power Loader
3.3% $61.03
Electrum
16.0% $51.27
Avalanche
3.3% $39.24
Firebreathing
16.0% $31.66
Retrobution
3.3% $21.13
Amberline
16.0% $18.87
Max Win
$61.03 (+196.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$26.38 (+28.2%)
Win %
42.0%
Volatility
+72.1%
Cost
$20.57
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $20.57
Ask Price EV $26.38 (+28.2%)
Bid Price EV $22.18 (+7.8%)
Ask Profit $5.81 (+28.2%)
Bid Profit $1.61 (+7.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $4.20 (+20.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.81
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.61
Risk
Win Probability 42.0%
Loss Probability 58.0%
Best Case $61.03 (+196.7%)
Worst Case $13.57 (-34.0%)
Volatility +72.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 38.7%
Avg Win +$20.66
Avg Loss -$4.95
Bottom 5% Outcome $13.57 (-34.0%)
Std Dev $14.84
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 11m
Oldest Output Price 155h 4m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Yorick
—
Minimal Wear
$1.39 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Outbreak
—
Factory New
$2.44 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.36 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.46 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.99 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$3.70 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 38M 54S //TOTAL COST $20.57 //ASK PRICE EV $26.38 //BID PRICE EV $22.18 //ASK PROFIT $5.81 (+28.2%) //BID PROFIT $1.61 (+7.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 42.0% //BEST CASE $61.03 //VOLATILITY +72.1% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$61.03
+$40.46
+196.7%
$42.86
+$22.29
+108.4%
$18.17
29.8%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$51.27
+$30.70
+149.3%
$43.51
+$22.94
+111.5%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$39.24
+$18.67
+90.8%
$31.77
+$11.20
+54.4%
$7.47
19.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$31.66
+$11.09
+53.9%
$29.45
+$8.88
+43.2%
$2.21
7.0%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$21.13
+$0.56
+2.7%
$18.68
-$1.89
-9.2%
$2.45
11.6%
—
LOSS THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$18.87
-$1.70
-8.3%
$12.97
-$7.60
-36.9%
$5.90
31.3%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$18.33
-$2.24
-10.9%
$16.07
-$4.50
-21.9%
$2.26
12.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$14.51
-$6.06
-29.5%
$13.05
-$7.52
-36.6%
$1.46
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$14.34
-$6.23
-30.3%
$11.82
-$8.75
-42.5%
$2.52
17.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$13.75
-$6.82
-33.2%
$12.38
-$8.19
-39.8%
$1.37
9.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$13.57
-$7.00
-34.0%
$11.82
-$8.75
-42.5%
$1.75
12.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.574,
"optimistic_value": 13.42,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:33.912966Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ef297140e6ea",
"realistic_value": 21.131,
"optimistic_value": 20.9,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution",
"conservative_value": 18.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:11.179039Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ef297140e6ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69c57b0e17a5",
"realistic_value": 61.026500000000006,
"optimistic_value": 59.7,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Power Loader",
"conservative_value": 42.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:56.071598Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69c57b0e17a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-13af73ca7ca5",
"realistic_value": 13.7475,
"optimistic_value": 12.68,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod",
"conservative_value": 12.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:09.103272Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-13af73ca7ca5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-460926660df2",
"realistic_value": 14.337,
"optimistic_value": 14.12,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:20.022829Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-460926660df2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4a49656a91ca",
"realistic_value": 39.2415,
"optimistic_value": 37.46,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche",
"conservative_value": 31.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:30.885275Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4a49656a91ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0454935,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3932487f357b",
"realistic_value": 18.334,
"optimistic_value": 18.25,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner",
"conservative_value": 16.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:10.999745Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3932487f357b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b8502ad0fd1736e42f8eeb51",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.39,
"skin_id": "skin-e62659639aba",
"listing_id": "636837710518236276",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Yorick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e62659639aba.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:42.502842Z"
},
{
"price": 2.44,
"skin_id": "skin-c367da09c5bb",
"listing_id": "641340675944298083",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Outbreak",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c367da09c5bb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:12:40.121284Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "493850543433131140",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:19.274491Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "508487242223022158",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:19.274491Z"
},
{
"price": 1.07,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "503983423969275595",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:19.274491Z"
},
{
"price": 2.36,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "497228243055300185",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:11.291225Z"
},
{
"price": 2.46,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235389470490196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:28.772828Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "500605889842157771",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:11.291225Z"
},
{
"price": 2.99,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "490472790738237423",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:28.772828Z"
},
{
"price": 3.7,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "501730992863239961",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:28.772828Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Avalanche 3.3% $7.97 Power Loader 3.3% $7.64 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Retrobution 3.3% $3.97 Teclu Burner 3.3% $3.70 | $10.69 +155.2% | $5.19 +23.8% | 38.7% | +56.3% | $4.19 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 1.7% $61.03 Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Avalanche 1.7% $39.24 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Retrobution 1.7% $21.13 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 | $61.03 +200.5% | $26.18 +28.9% | 41.0% | +60.7% | $20.31 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 5.0% $61.03 Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Avalanche 5.0% $39.24 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Retrobution 5.0% $21.13 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 | $61.03 +192.1% | $26.57 +27.2% | 43.0% | +61.7% | $20.89 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 6.7% $61.03 Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Avalanche 6.7% $39.24 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Retrobution 6.7% $21.13 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 | $61.03 +185.2% | $26.77 +25.1% | 37.3% | +61.5% | $21.40 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 8.3% $61.03 Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Avalanche 8.3% $39.24 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Retrobution 8.3% $21.13 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 | $61.03 +173.9% | $26.97 +21.1% | 36.7% | +60.2% | $22.28 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 10.0% $61.03 Electrum 8.0% $51.27 Avalanche 10.0% $39.24 Firebreathing 8.0% $31.66 Retrobution 10.0% $21.13 Amberline 8.0% $18.87 | $61.03 +163.5% | $27.17 +17.3% | 36.0% | +59.0% | $23.16 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 11.7% $61.03 Electrum 6.0% $51.27 Avalanche 11.7% $39.24 Firebreathing 6.0% $31.66 Retrobution 11.7% $21.13 Amberline 6.0% $18.87 | $61.03 +148.4% | $27.37 +11.4% | 35.3% | +56.5% | $24.57 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 13.3% $61.03 Electrum 4.0% $51.27 Avalanche 13.3% $39.24 Firebreathing 4.0% $31.66 Retrobution 13.3% $21.13 Amberline 4.0% $18.87 | $61.03 +128.6% | $27.57 +3.3% | 34.7% | +52.9% | $26.69 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Point Disarray  3.3% $145.60 Shapewood  3.3% $95.65 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.67 The Executioner  3.3% $11.16 | $290.04 +185.6% | $131.16 +29.1% | 33.3% | +104.1% | $101.56 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Fade  30.0% $318.51 Queen's Gambit  20.0% $286.65 Fully Tuned  20.0% $201.70 Royal Paladin  30.0% $173.55 | $318.51 +72.3% | $245.29 +32.7% | 70.0% | +33.7% | $184.85 | — |