The Prisma 2 Collection ×7+The Fever Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Desert Strike
1x $0.27
Distressed
6x $0.28
Sure Grip
2x $0.31
Mockingbird
1x $0.37
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
14.0% $8.04
Acid Etched
14.0% $5.54
Serpent Strike
6.0% $4.41
Apocalypto
14.0% $4.36
Darkwing
14.0% $3.77
Enforcer
14.0% $3.25
Max Win
$8.04 (+113.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.42 (+17.5%)
Win %
62.0%
Volatility
+45.7%
Cost
$3.76
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.76
Ask Price EV $4.42 (+17.5%)
Bid Price EV $3.77 (+0.4%)
Ask Profit $0.66 (+17.5%)
Bid Profit $0.01 (+0.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.64 (+17.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.66
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.01
Risk
Win Probability 62.0%
Loss Probability 38.0%
Best Case $8.04 (+113.8%)
Worst Case $2.50 (-33.5%)
Volatility +45.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 18.0%
Avg Win +$1.57
Avg Loss -$0.83
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.50 (-33.5%)
Std Dev $1.72
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 155h 27m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Mockingbird
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01M 59S //TOTAL COST $3.76 //ASK PRICE EV $4.42 //BID PRICE EV $3.77 //ASK PROFIT $0.66 (+17.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.01 (+0.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 62.0% //BEST CASE $8.04 //VOLATILITY +45.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
14.0%
$8.04
+$4.28
+113.8%
$7.38
+$3.62
+96.3%
$0.66
8.2%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$5.54
+$1.78
+47.4%
$4.68
+$0.92
+24.5%
$0.86
15.5%
—
PAPER WIN
6.0%
$4.41
+$0.65
+17.3%
$3.69
-$0.07
-1.9%
$0.72
16.3%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$4.36
+$0.60
+15.9%
$3.34
-$0.42
-11.2%
$1.02
23.3%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.77
+$0.01
+0.3%
$3.19
-$0.57
-15.2%
$0.58
15.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.25
-$0.51
-13.6%
$2.62
-$1.14
-30.3%
$0.63
19.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$3.19
-$0.57
-15.1%
$2.88
-$0.88
-23.4%
$0.31
9.8%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$2.76
-$1.00
-26.6%
$2.44
-$1.32
-35.1%
$0.32
11.6%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$2.54
-$1.22
-32.4%
$2.16
-$1.60
-42.6%
$0.38
15.0%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$2.50
-$1.26
-33.5%
$2.24
-$1.52
-40.4%
$0.26
10.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 5.541,
"optimistic_value": 5.45,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 4.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T20:21:10.414344Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 3.2505,
"optimistic_value": 3.24,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:19.372570Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 3.771,
"optimistic_value": 3.75,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 3.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:30.192884Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.10775519999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 4.357,
"optimistic_value": 3.79,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 3.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T19:14:02.736841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.08530619999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 4.41,
"optimistic_value": 4.41,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 3.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:12.672103Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.11957759169999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 2.7605,
"optimistic_value": 2.68,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 2.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T14:23:45.741024Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 3.194,
"optimistic_value": 3.18,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 2.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:14.015548Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14225916334,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 2.5,
"optimistic_value": 2.5,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 2.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:19.810517Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.10476199999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 2.54,
"optimistic_value": 2.54,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:27:42.829372Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a48aca4ce91e7b69f5faaca2",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "520872088107230916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:19.621923Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "493850438107893880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:40:05.404981Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "523123091047708294",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:40:05.404981Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "501730992868715561",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:40:05.404981Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:39:52.093975Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:39:52.093975Z"
},
{
"price": 0.55,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "507360492284530429",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:39:52.093975Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "515242641502911409",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:31.936308Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "499479989897250085",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:31.936308Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-e0eec3353ea4",
"listing_id": "523123940970414526",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e0eec3353ea4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:04.864149Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:7+collection-set-community-35:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×7+The Fever Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 14.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 14.0% $17.96 Darkwing 14.0% $13.75 Rising Sun 6.0% $11.79 Enforcer 14.0% $11.37 Apocalypto 14.0% $11.36 | $18.94 +57.0% | $13.01 +7.9% | 42.0% | +25.2% | $12.06 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 Serpent Strike 8.0% $4.41 Apocalypto 12.0% $4.36 Darkwing 12.0% $3.77 Enforcer 12.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +122.6% | $4.23 +17.1% | 56.0% | +40.1% | $3.61 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Fever Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Serpent Strike 10.0% $4.41 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Darkwing 10.0% $3.79 Enforcer 10.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +128.3% | $4.03 +14.4% | 50.0% | +39.5% | $3.52 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Fever Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 8.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 8.0% $5.54 Serpent Strike 12.0% $4.41 Apocalypto 8.0% $4.36 Darkwing 8.0% $3.77 Enforcer 8.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +137.8% | $3.85 +13.8% | 44.0% | +38.8% | $3.38 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 6.0% $5.54 Serpent Strike 14.0% $4.41 Apocalypto 6.0% $4.36 Darkwing 6.0% $3.77 Enforcer 6.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +142.1% | $3.64 +9.5% | 38.0% | +37.0% | $3.32 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Fever Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 4.0% $5.54 Serpent Strike 16.0% $4.41 Apocalypto 4.0% $4.36 Darkwing 4.0% $3.77 Enforcer 4.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +142.8% | $3.46 +4.6% | 32.0% | +33.0% | $3.31 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Phantom Disruptor  10.0% $21.16 Searing Rage  23.3% $15.95 Shinobu  23.3% $14.72 Disco Tech  10.0% $13.93 Justice  10.0% $10.09 K.O. Factory  23.3% $8.22 | $21.16 +82.1% | $13.59 +16.9% | 66.7% | +33.7% | $11.62 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Fever Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Printstream  30.0% $127.68 Bullet Queen  20.0% $91.73 Player Two  20.0% $91.40 Bad Trip  30.0% $74.69 | $127.68 +53.9% | $97.34 +17.3% | 70.0% | +25.4% | $82.98 | — |