The Revolution Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
3x $0.30
Cyberforce
2x $0.34
Liquidation
1x $0.49
Rebel
1x $1.88
Statics
2x $0.96
Hypnosis
1x $1.01
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
6.0% $36.14
Turbine
6.0% $36.07
Saibā Oni
6.0% $18.57
Hydro Strike
6.0% $16.76
Emphorosaur-S
14.0% $11.80
Randy Rush
6.0% $9.60
Max Win
$36.14 (+289.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.73 (+15.6%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+114.8%
Cost
$9.28
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $9.28
Ask Price EV $10.73 (+15.6%)
Bid Price EV $9.14 (-1.5%)
Ask Profit $1.45 (+15.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.14 (-1.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.59 (+17.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.45
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.14
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $36.14 (+289.4%)
Worst Case $1.73 (-81.4%)
Volatility +114.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 56.0%
Avg Win +$10.45
Avg Loss -$5.63
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.73 (-81.4%)
Std Dev $10.66
Avg Norm Float 0.0823
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 148h 21m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Liquidation
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$1.76 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Statics
—
Minimal Wear
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Minimal Wear
$1.01 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Statics
—
Minimal Wear
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 46M 47S //TOTAL COST $9.28 //ASK PRICE EV $10.73 //BID PRICE EV $9.14 //ASK PROFIT $1.45 (+15.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.14 (-1.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $36.14 //VOLATILITY +114.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID
6.0%
$36.14
+$26.86
+289.4%
$27.00
+$17.72
+190.9%
$9.14
25.3%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$36.07
+$26.79
+288.7%
$32.04
+$22.76
+245.3%
$4.03
11.2%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$18.57
+$9.29
+100.1%
$15.73
+$6.45
+69.5%
$2.84
15.3%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$16.76
+$7.48
+80.6%
$14.28
+$5.00
+53.9%
$2.48
14.8%
—
WIN
14.0%
$11.80
+$2.52
+27.2%
$10.16
+$0.88
+9.5%
$1.64
13.9%
—
PAPER WIN
6.0%
$9.60
+$0.32
+3.5%
$8.92
-$0.36
-3.9%
$0.68
7.1%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$6.89
-$2.39
-25.7%
$6.18
-$3.10
-33.4%
$0.71
10.3%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$3.33
-$5.95
-64.1%
$3.08
-$6.20
-66.8%
$0.25
7.5%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$2.65
-$6.63
-71.4%
$2.41
-$6.87
-74.0%
$0.24
9.2%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.73
-$7.55
-81.4%
$1.46
-$7.82
-84.3%
$0.27
15.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06171,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 6.893,
"optimistic_value": 6.62,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:08:39.032495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06582400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.2577224,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.049368,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.331,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:58.997849Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.08228,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.7269999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.72,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:58.935941Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06594067304000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 16.759,
"optimistic_value": 16.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 14.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.350675Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.069938,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 36.0705,
"optimistic_value": 35.57,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 32.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T08:34:09.254161Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.05430480000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 18.573,
"optimistic_value": 18.09,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 15.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:48.491520Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06171,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 9.600999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 9.37,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 8.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:47.184299Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06171,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 36.1385,
"optimistic_value": 35.61,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.036973Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a4245bc7624f8ce7b5b8246e",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499479989896449373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:55.844926Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "516368488725172886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:55.844926Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746241188332448",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:17.202406Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-d87f89df4191",
"listing_id": "502857637416920044",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d87f89df4191.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:55:26.180923Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "524249787961735143",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:17.202406Z"
},
{
"price": 1.76,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "515241791644842529",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:52:38.514383Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "496102237882665215",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:08:44.638906Z"
},
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-63ed7bb762a0",
"listing_id": "500605889842070723",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Statics",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63ed7bb762a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:59:54.560470Z"
},
{
"price": 1.01,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "491598690700234022",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:26.689208Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-63ed7bb762a0",
"listing_id": "775323495749622894",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Statics",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63ed7bb762a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:59:54.560470Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:7+collection-set-community-34:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 Randy Rush 6.0% $3.69 | $14.22 +327.1% | $4.44 +33.4% | 44.0% | +101.0% | $3.33 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 Randy Rush 4.0% $3.69 | $14.22 +399.1% | $3.77 +32.2% | 52.0% | +104.7% | $2.85 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Randy Rush 8.0% $3.69 | $14.22 +253.8% | $5.11 +27.2% | 44.0% | +89.1% | $4.02 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Randy Rush 10.0% $3.69 | $14.22 +212.6% | $5.78 +27.1% | 40.0% | +81.3% | $4.55 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Randy Rush 12.0% $3.69 | $14.22 +170.9% | $6.46 +23.0% | 48.0% | +71.5% | $5.25 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $36.14 Turbine 14.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 14.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 14.0% $16.76 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $11.80 Randy Rush 14.0% $9.60 | $36.14 +144.2% | $17.97 +21.4% | 56.0% | +69.0% | $14.80 | — |