The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Light Box
2x $0.23
Hideout
2x $0.29
Dark Sigil
2x $0.32
Motorized
1x $0.35
Red Wing
1x $0.40
Trigger Discipline
1x $0.52
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
6.0% $21.44
Etch Lord
14.0% $4.45
Cat Fight
6.0% $4.32
Angel Eyes
6.0% $4.21
Block-18
14.0% $4.19
Continuum
6.0% $4.09
Max Win
$21.44 (+484.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.61 (+25.5%)
Win %
58.0%
Volatility
+118.1%
Cost
$3.67
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.67
Ask Price EV $4.61 (+25.5%)
Bid Price EV $4.12 (+12.1%)
Ask Profit $0.94 (+25.5%)
Bid Profit $0.45 (+12.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.49 (+13.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.94
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.45
Risk
Win Probability 58.0%
Loss Probability 42.0%
Best Case $21.44 (+484.2%)
Worst Case $2.02 (-45.0%)
Volatility +118.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 28.0%
Avg Win +$2.35
Avg Loss -$1.01
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.02 (-45.0%)
Std Dev $4.34
Avg Norm Float 0.1494
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 144h 34m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Trigger Discipline
—
Field-Tested
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 06M 17S //TOTAL COST $3.67 //ASK PRICE EV $4.61 //BID PRICE EV $4.12 //ASK PROFIT $0.94 (+25.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.45 (+12.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 58.0% //BEST CASE $21.44 //VOLATILITY +118.1% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$21.44
+$17.77
+484.2%
$18.66
+$14.99
+408.4%
$2.78
13.0%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$4.45
+$0.78
+21.2%
$3.86
+$0.19
+5.2%
$0.59
13.2%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$4.32
+$0.65
+17.8%
$3.83
+$0.16
+4.4%
$0.49
11.4%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$4.21
+$0.54
+14.6%
$3.72
+$0.05
+1.4%
$0.49
11.5%
—
SMALL WIN
14.0%
$4.19
+$0.52
+14.2%
$3.88
+$0.21
+5.7%
$0.31
7.4%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$4.09
+$0.42
+11.5%
$3.62
-$0.05
-1.4%
$0.47
11.5%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$3.96
+$0.29
+7.9%
$3.65
-$0.02
-0.5%
$0.31
7.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.32
-$0.35
-9.6%
$2.85
-$0.82
-22.3%
$0.47
14.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$2.63
-$1.04
-28.3%
$2.60
-$1.07
-29.2%
$0.03
1.2%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$2.02
-$1.65
-45.0%
$1.86
-$1.81
-49.3%
$0.16
7.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.6305,
"optimistic_value": 2.62,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:12:57.221700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.100405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4475,
"optimistic_value": 4.43,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:47.747830Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.3175,
"optimistic_value": 3.3,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:25.258742Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.09248243839999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 2.0185,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:52.072510Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 4.2055,
"optimistic_value": 4.09,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 3.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:16:32.226410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 21.439,
"optimistic_value": 21.32,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 18.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:31.788316Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 4.3245,
"optimistic_value": 4.3,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 3.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:15:29.718349Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 3.9615,
"optimistic_value": 3.93,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:58:11.917809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 4.0915,
"optimistic_value": 4.06,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 3.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:59:59.096311Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_99098291cb38f2eeb31b8800",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:21.375196Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:21.375196Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "510738989040894814",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:29.147912Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "498354089953381135",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:29.147912Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "525375522204066055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:55:48.313410Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:22.225185Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:55:48.313410Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "496102290329494463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:29.615695Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-ab9a15ef8110",
"listing_id": "491598690698980970",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Trigger Discipline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab9a15ef8110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:15:51.961951Z"
},
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "507361289453102161",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:09.623997Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:7+collection-set-community-36:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 6.0% $11.18 Cat Fight 6.0% $2.29 Etch Lord 14.0% $2.28 Angel Eyes 6.0% $2.07 Ocular 6.0% $2.07 Block-18 14.0% $2.01 | $11.18 +453.7% | $2.38 +17.9% | 38.0% | +107.1% | $2.02 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Liquidation 6.0% $46.21 Etch Lord 14.0% $13.06 Continuum 6.0% $10.66 Cat Fight 6.0% $10.59 Ocular 6.0% $10.40 Angel Eyes 6.0% $10.13 | $46.21 +329.4% | $11.33 +5.3% | 20.0% | +79.7% | $10.76 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 8.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 8.0% $4.31 Angel Eyes 8.0% $4.21 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Continuum 8.0% $4.09 | $21.44 +433.3% | $5.03 +25.2% | 56.0% | +116.2% | $4.02 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 4.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 4.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 4.0% $4.21 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Continuum 4.0% $4.09 | $21.44 +540.0% | $4.18 +24.7% | 52.0% | +103.1% | $3.35 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 10.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 10.0% $4.31 Angel Eyes 10.0% $4.21 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Continuum 10.0% $4.09 | $21.44 +389.5% | $5.46 +24.7% | 20.0% | +117.0% | $4.38 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 12.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 12.0% $4.31 Angel Eyes 12.0% $4.21 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Continuum 12.0% $4.09 | $21.44 +349.5% | $5.89 +23.5% | 12.0% | +115.7% | $4.77 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Genesis Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 2.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 2.0% $4.31 Angel Eyes 2.0% $4.21 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Continuum 2.0% $4.09 | $21.44 +600.6% | $3.75 +22.5% | 64.0% | +82.6% | $3.06 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 14.0% $4.31 Angel Eyes 14.0% $4.21 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Continuum 14.0% $4.09 | $21.44 +313.1% | $6.32 +21.7% | 14.0% | +113.0% | $5.19 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Genesis Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 16.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 16.0% $4.21 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Continuum 16.0% $4.09 | $21.44 +279.5% | $6.75 +19.4% | 16.0% | +109.3% | $5.65 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Genesis Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 18.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 2.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 18.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 18.0% $4.21 Block-18 2.0% $4.19 Continuum 18.0% $4.09 | $21.44 +247.5% | $7.18 +16.3% | 18.0% | +104.7% | $6.17 | — |