The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Slag
2x $0.16
Hideout
1x $0.18
Light Box
1x $0.23
Fragment
3x $0.30
RMX
2x $0.38
Bock Blocks
1x $0.41
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
12.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
12.0% $6.12
Galigator
12.0% $3.26
Amberline
12.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
12.0% $3.19
Etch Lord
8.0% $2.47
Max Win
$10.69 (+267.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.89 (+33.6%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+98.2%
Cost
$2.91
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.91
Ask Price EV $3.89 (+33.6%)
Bid Price EV $3.31 (+13.8%)
Ask Profit $0.98 (+33.6%)
Bid Profit $0.40 (+13.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.58 (+19.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.98
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.40
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+267.5%)
Worst Case $1.37 (-53.0%)
Volatility +98.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$2.39
Avg Loss -$1.14
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.37 (-53.0%)
Std Dev $2.86
Avg Norm Float 0.3792
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 6h 29m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 08M 41S //TOTAL COST $2.91 //ASK PRICE EV $3.89 //BID PRICE EV $3.31 //ASK PROFIT $0.98 (+33.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.40 (+13.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +98.2% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$10.69
+$7.78
+267.5%
$9.15
+$6.24
+214.4%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$6.12
+$3.21
+110.2%
$4.98
+$2.07
+71.1%
$1.14
18.6%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$3.26
+$0.35
+12.1%
$2.91
+$0.00
+0.0%
$0.35
10.8%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$3.22
+$0.31
+10.7%
$2.61
-$0.30
-10.3%
$0.61
19.0%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$3.19
+$0.28
+9.6%
$2.57
-$0.34
-11.7%
$0.62
19.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$2.47
-$0.44
-15.1%
$2.08
-$0.83
-28.5%
$0.39
15.8%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$2.01
-$0.90
-31.0%
$1.93
-$0.98
-33.7%
$0.08
3.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$1.56
-$1.35
-46.4%
$1.43
-$1.48
-50.9%
$0.13
8.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$1.47
-$1.44
-49.5%
$1.39
-$1.52
-52.2%
$0.08
5.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.37
-$1.54
-53.0%
$1.24
-$1.67
-57.4%
$0.13
9.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3792,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3792,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.2635,
"optimistic_value": 3.19,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:45.477369Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3792,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3792,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 3.222,
"optimistic_value": 3.18,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:01:26.718335Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3792,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 3.19,
"optimistic_value": 3.19,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:17.210220Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3792,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:10:14.031964Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.254775,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 2.007,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 1.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:46:05.315017Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3792,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.4705,
"optimistic_value": 2.46,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:08:20.815604Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3792,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.23467171199999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.3675,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:34.567927Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_7aef03036c30ca38d16aab68",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "642467916639628445",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:23.641440Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "528753387756713457",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:20.321879Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "498353293087098595",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:23.641440Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "496102237884429359",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:53:40.279307Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "502857689862472948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:24.029554Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "507361289452778197",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:24.029554Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "499479989896168933",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:24.029554Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "508487136897691262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:12:24.905175Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "506235389469140196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:12:24.905175Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "496102290329339159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:04.542706Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.79 Etch Lord 8.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +242.7% | $19.09 +27.6% | 36.0% | +82.4% | $14.96 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 12.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 12.0% $10.78 Amberline 12.0% $6.48 Galigator 12.0% $5.68 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $4.73 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +207.9% | $6.68 +21.5% | 48.0% | +71.8% | $5.50 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn ST | Electrum 12.0% $7.45 Firebreathing 12.0% $3.97 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $2.69 Galigator 12.0% $2.39 Amberline 12.0% $2.30 Block-18 8.0% $2.01 | $7.45 +163.3% | $2.88 +1.8% | 24.0% | +59.0% | $2.83 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Galigator 10.0% $3.26 Amberline 10.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $3.19 Etch Lord 10.0% $2.47 | $10.69 +300.5% | $3.54 +32.4% | 50.0% | +91.2% | $2.67 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 14.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 14.0% $6.12 Galigator 14.0% $3.26 Amberline 14.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $3.19 Etch Lord 6.0% $2.47 | $10.69 +233.1% | $4.24 +32.0% | 56.0% | +82.1% | $3.21 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Galigator 16.0% $3.26 Amberline 16.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.19 Etch Lord 4.0% $2.47 | $10.69 +206.4% | $4.59 +31.5% | 32.0% | +78.0% | $3.49 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.26 Amberline 8.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $3.19 Etch Lord 12.0% $2.48 | $10.69 +338.2% | $3.18 +30.5% | 52.0% | +94.0% | $2.44 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 18.0% $6.12 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 Amberline 18.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $3.18 Etch Lord 2.0% $2.47 | $10.69 +179.2% | $4.94 +29.0% | 36.0% | +73.5% | $3.83 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.48 Galigator 6.0% $5.66 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.70 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +329.8% | $5.00 +27.0% | 58.0% | +83.2% | $3.94 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Amberline 4.0% $6.48 Galigator 4.0% $5.68 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $4.73 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +378.4% | $4.45 +25.6% | 52.0% | +80.3% | $3.54 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 2.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 2.0% $10.78 Amberline 2.0% $6.48 Galigator 2.0% $5.68 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $4.73 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +432.6% | $3.89 +22.3% | 64.0% | +67.6% | $3.18 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Inheritance  5.0% $480.22 Chrome Cannon  5.0% $297.24 | $843.46 +61.2% | $636.64 +21.7% | 45.0% | +36.6% | $523.12 | — |