The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Foresight
1x $0.31
Ensnared
2x $0.32
Scrawl
1x $0.42
Necro Jr.
1x $0.52
Hideout
1x $0.34
Motorized
2x $0.34
↓
Possible Outputs
Block-18
10.0% $8.90
Night Terror
10.0% $8.21
Etch Lord
10.0% $4.45
Analog Input
10.0% $4.03
Ticket to Hell
10.0% $3.94
Just Smile
10.0% $3.34
Max Win
$8.90 (+142.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.23 (+15.3%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+63.4%
Cost
$3.67
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.67
Ask Price EV $4.23 (+15.3%)
Bid Price EV $3.82 (+4.1%)
Ask Profit $0.56 (+15.3%)
Bid Profit $0.15 (+4.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.41 (+11.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.56
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.15
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $8.90 (+142.4%)
Worst Case $1.36 (-62.9%)
Volatility +63.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$2.24
Avg Loss -$1.11
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.36 (-62.9%)
Std Dev $2.32
Avg Norm Float 0.1000
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 155h 23m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 23M 18S //TOTAL COST $3.67 //ASK PRICE EV $4.23 //BID PRICE EV $3.82 //ASK PROFIT $0.56 (+15.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.15 (+4.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $8.90 //VOLATILITY +63.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$8.90
+$5.23
+142.4%
$7.77
+$4.10
+111.7%
$1.13
12.7%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$8.21
+$4.54
+123.8%
$7.84
+$4.17
+113.6%
$0.37
4.6%
—
WIN
10.0%
$4.45
+$0.78
+21.3%
$3.79
+$0.12
+3.3%
$0.66
14.9%
—
SMALL WIN
10.0%
$4.03
+$0.36
+9.8%
$3.76
+$0.09
+2.5%
$0.27
6.7%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$3.94
+$0.27
+7.4%
$3.26
-$0.41
-11.2%
$0.68
17.3%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$3.34
-$0.33
-8.9%
$3.24
-$0.43
-11.7%
$0.10
3.1%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.99
-$0.69
-18.7%
$2.62
-$1.05
-28.6%
$0.36
12.2%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.65
-$1.02
-27.8%
$2.60
-$1.07
-29.2%
$0.05
1.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.45
-$1.22
-33.2%
$2.11
-$1.56
-42.5%
$0.34
13.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.36
-$2.31
-62.9%
$1.22
-$2.45
-66.8%
$0.14
10.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.65,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:19.102917Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 1.3625,
"optimistic_value": 1.31,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 1.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:21:12.543606Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06716734375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 8.897,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 7.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.653469Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.069979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 8.2145,
"optimistic_value": 8.12,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 7.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:11:01.252262Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4535,
"optimistic_value": 4.45,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:47.953436Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.3435,
"optimistic_value": 3.34,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 3.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:32.320445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06697990000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 2.985,
"optimistic_value": 2.95,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T20:23:52.712289Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0618674342,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 4.028,
"optimistic_value": 4,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 3.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:11.593982Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.07597720000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.049985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 2.45,
"optimistic_value": 2.45,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 2.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:17.633633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_742d234f1cf7f92118b2d862",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292231168711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:34.677877Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "521997191218606146",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:16.265956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "518620122755714344",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:16.265956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "514116688950417090",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:33.635452Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "501730992851159909",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:19.682801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872088106698692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:25.545663Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "527627540538064388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:07.728597Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:07.728597Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:28.744705Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "515242641502660669",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:43.994743Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:5+collection-set-community-33:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $3.94 Etch Lord 10.0% $2.48 Analog Input 10.0% $1.90 Just Smile 10.0% $1.56 | $4.19 +106.4% | $2.30 +13.2% | 40.0% | +50.1% | $2.03 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Kilowatt Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Ticket to Hell 16.0% $10.13 Block-18 4.0% $8.90 Night Terror 16.0% $8.21 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Analog Input 4.0% $4.03 Just Smile 4.0% $3.34 | $10.13 +146.4% | $4.95 +20.6% | 40.0% | +63.2% | $4.11 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 18.0% $4.46 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Night Terror 2.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 2.0% $3.94 Just Smile 18.0% $3.35 Hybrid 18.0% $2.65 | $4.46 +65.2% | $3.22 +19.2% | 58.0% | +27.1% | $2.70 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Ticket to Hell 14.0% $10.13 Block-18 6.0% $8.90 Night Terror 14.0% $8.21 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.45 Analog Input 6.0% $4.03 Just Smile 6.0% $3.34 | $10.13 +144.6% | $4.92 +18.9% | 40.0% | +61.4% | $4.14 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Ticket to Hell 12.0% $10.13 Block-18 8.0% $8.90 Night Terror 12.0% $8.21 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.43 Analog Input 8.0% $4.13 Just Smile 8.0% $3.32 | $10.13 +145.2% | $4.90 +18.6% | 40.0% | +60.0% | $4.13 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Night Terror 4.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $3.94 Just Smile 16.0% $3.34 Hybrid 16.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +68.7% | $3.12 +18.2% | 72.0% | +28.8% | $2.64 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Night Terror 6.0% $4.12 Etch Lord 14.0% $2.35 Analog Input 14.0% $1.90 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $1.87 Just Smile 14.0% $1.56 | $4.19 +126.5% | $2.16 +16.8% | 54.0% | +50.6% | $1.85 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Block-18 12.0% $8.90 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.43 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Analog Input 12.0% $4.03 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 Just Smile 12.0% $3.32 | $8.90 +160.1% | $3.99 +16.6% | 52.0% | +50.4% | $3.42 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  23.3% $37.06 Jawbreaker  23.3% $14.90 Olympus  23.3% $13.83 Rapid Eye Movement  10.0% $9.11 Melondrama  10.0% $8.43 Abyssal Apparition  10.0% $8.11 | $37.06 +141.6% | $17.92 +16.8% | 23.3% | +70.8% | $15.34 | — |