The Revolution Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Cyberforce
1x $0.34
Liquidation
1x $0.48
Fragments
1x $0.96
Rebel
1x $1.88
Motorized
1x $0.35
Dark Sigil
2x $0.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Etch Lord
12.0% $13.06
Emphorosaur-S
8.0% $11.80
Just Smile
12.0% $9.31
Block-18
12.0% $8.90
Banana Cannon
8.0% $8.10
Hybrid
12.0% $7.89
Max Win
$13.06 (+68.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.85 (+1.1%)
Win %
64.0%
Volatility
+41.5%
Cost
$7.76
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $7.76
Ask Price EV $7.85 (+1.1%)
Bid Price EV $6.94 (-10.5%)
Ask Profit $0.09 (+1.1%)
Bid Profit $-0.82 (-10.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.90 (+11.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.09
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.82
Risk
Win Probability 64.0%
Loss Probability 36.0%
Best Case $13.06 (+68.3%)
Worst Case $2.65 (-65.8%)
Volatility +41.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 28.0%
Avg Win +$2.07
Avg Loss -$3.44
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.65 (-65.8%)
Std Dev $3.22
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 155h 44m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Liquidation
—
Minimal Wear
$0.48 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Irezumi
—
Factory New
$1.56 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 35M 07S //TOTAL COST $7.76 //ASK PRICE EV $7.85 //BID PRICE EV $6.94 //ASK PROFIT $0.09 (+1.1%) //BID PROFIT $-0.82 (-10.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 64.0% //BEST CASE $13.06 //VOLATILITY +41.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$13.06
+$5.30
+68.3%
$12.03
+$4.27
+55.0%
$1.03
7.9%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$11.80
+$4.04
+52.1%
$10.16
+$2.40
+30.9%
$1.64
13.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$9.31
+$1.55
+20.0%
$7.84
+$0.08
+1.0%
$1.47
15.8%
—
SMALL WIN
12.0%
$8.90
+$1.14
+14.7%
$7.77
+$0.01
+0.1%
$1.13
12.7%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$8.10
+$0.34
+4.3%
$6.70
-$1.06
-13.7%
$1.40
17.2%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$7.89
+$0.13
+1.7%
$7.43
-$0.33
-4.3%
$0.46
5.8%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$7.27
-$0.49
-6.3%
$6.18
-$1.58
-20.4%
$1.09
15.0%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$4.13
-$3.63
-46.8%
$3.76
-$4.00
-51.5%
$0.37
8.9%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$3.32
-$4.44
-57.2%
$3.08
-$4.68
-60.3%
$0.24
7.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$2.65
-$5.11
-65.8%
$2.41
-$5.35
-68.9%
$0.24
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 7.8895,
"optimistic_value": 7.83,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 7.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:28:57.736585Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.0469909375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 8.897,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 7.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.653469Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 13.056999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.35,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 12.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.589744Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 9.314,
"optimistic_value": 9.23,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 7.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:28:58.626471Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.0432830684,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 4.1265,
"optimistic_value": 4.06,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 3.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:11.593982Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.052455,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 7.274,
"optimistic_value": 7.19,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:46.167001Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.055952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.2505652,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.041964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.3175,
"optimistic_value": 3.3,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:18.212205Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 8.095,
"optimistic_value": 7.99,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 6.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:28:59.333012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6bb1e55093c8c16c9e2ca3bb",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746241188332448",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:31:40.972408Z"
},
{
"price": 0.48,
"skin_id": "skin-d87f89df4191",
"listing_id": "527627540538513956",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d87f89df4191.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:28.933898Z"
},
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "509613142168533747",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:49.108973Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "496102237882665215",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:05.043591Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:07.728597Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:28.744705Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "515242641502660669",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:43.994743Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "515241791654317225",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:24.397487Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "514115891832272466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:56.828235Z"
},
{
"price": 1.56,
"skin_id": "skin-8c2ae17ac090",
"listing_id": "527627322002854856",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Irezumi",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8c2ae17ac090.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:26.955101Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-community-33:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Block-18 12.0% $8.90 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.43 Analog Input 12.0% $4.13 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Just Smile 12.0% $3.32 Neoqueen 8.0% $3.32 | $8.90 +164.0% | $3.99 +18.3% | 44.0% | +51.5% | $3.37 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 Etch Lord 12.0% $2.35 Analog Input 12.0% $1.90 | $4.19 +102.4% | $2.34 +13.0% | 48.0% | +41.5% | $2.07 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 18.0% $4.43 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $4.12 Just Smile 18.0% $3.32 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 2.0% $2.65 | $4.43 +62.3% | $3.22 +18.1% | 58.0% | +24.7% | $2.73 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Just Smile 10.0% $3.34 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +79.6% | $2.93 +18.0% | 70.0% | +30.2% | $2.48 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Just Smile 14.0% $3.34 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +70.6% | $3.08 +18.0% | 74.0% | +27.7% | $2.61 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Etch Lord 8.0% $2.48 Analog Input 8.0% $1.90 | $4.19 +103.4% | $2.37 +15.2% | 52.0% | +41.1% | $2.06 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $13.83 Duality  3.3% $9.41 Wicked Sick  3.3% $5.64 Wild Child  3.3% $5.36 | $37.06 +106.7% | $20.42 +13.9% | 30.0% | +62.1% | $17.93 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Inheritance  25.0% $135.61 Chrome Cannon  25.0% $64.35 Temukau  25.0% $52.74 Head Shot  25.0% $46.53 | $135.61 +98.0% | $74.81 +9.2% | 25.0% | +52.1% | $68.49 | — |