The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Desert Strike
1x $0.27
Distressed
5x $0.28
Light Box
1x $0.20
Motorized
1x $0.35
Dark Sigil
1x $0.36
Dezastre
1x $0.38
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
12.0% $8.04
Acid Etched
12.0% $5.54
Etch Lord
8.0% $4.45
Apocalypto
12.0% $4.36
Block-18
8.0% $4.19
Darkwing
12.0% $3.78
Max Win
$8.04 (+129.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.33 (+23.7%)
Win %
64.0%
Volatility
+47.3%
Cost
$3.50
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.50
Ask Price EV $4.33 (+23.7%)
Bid Price EV $3.75 (+7.1%)
Ask Profit $0.83 (+23.7%)
Bid Profit $0.25 (+7.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.58 (+16.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.83
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.25
Risk
Win Probability 64.0%
Loss Probability 36.0%
Best Case $8.04 (+129.6%)
Worst Case $2.02 (-42.3%)
Volatility +47.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 8.0%
Avg Win +$1.65
Avg Loss -$0.64
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.02 (-42.3%)
Std Dev $1.65
Avg Norm Float 0.1498
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 145h 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 59S //TOTAL COST $3.50 //ASK PRICE EV $4.33 //BID PRICE EV $3.75 //ASK PROFIT $0.83 (+23.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.25 (+7.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 64.0% //BEST CASE $8.04 //VOLATILITY +47.3% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.0%
$8.04
+$4.54
+129.6%
$7.38
+$3.88
+110.9%
$0.66
8.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$5.54
+$2.04
+58.3%
$4.68
+$1.18
+33.7%
$0.86
15.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.45
+$0.95
+27.1%
$3.86
+$0.36
+10.3%
$0.59
13.2%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$4.36
+$0.86
+24.5%
$3.34
-$0.16
-4.6%
$1.02
23.3%
—
WIN
8.0%
$4.19
+$0.69
+19.7%
$3.88
+$0.38
+10.9%
$0.31
7.4%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$3.78
+$0.28
+8.1%
$3.19
-$0.31
-8.9%
$0.59
15.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$3.32
-$0.18
-5.2%
$2.85
-$0.65
-18.6%
$0.47
14.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$3.28
-$0.22
-6.3%
$2.62
-$0.88
-25.1%
$0.66
20.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$2.63
-$0.87
-24.8%
$2.60
-$0.90
-25.7%
$0.03
1.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$2.02
-$1.48
-42.3%
$1.85
-$1.65
-47.1%
$0.17
8.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 5.541,
"optimistic_value": 5.45,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 4.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T20:21:10.414344Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 3.2805,
"optimistic_value": 3.27,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:04:44.209770Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 3.784,
"optimistic_value": 3.77,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 3.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:07.278497Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1078488,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 4.357,
"optimistic_value": 3.79,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 3.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T19:14:02.736841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.6305,
"optimistic_value": 2.62,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:24.016179Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.10064015625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4475,
"optimistic_value": 4.43,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:47.747830Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.3175,
"optimistic_value": 3.3,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:09:57.780400Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.0926990394,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 2.0185,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:12.630618Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_653d488dd8571f36be2ca6be",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "526500790805957093",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:19:32.256080Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "493850438107893880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:52.336394Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "523123091047708294",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:52.336394Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "501730992868715561",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:52.336394Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:08.117511Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:08.117511Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "515242588555339081",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:56.286676Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:12.090797Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:33.516445Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "494976390477239502",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:11.976800Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:6+collection-set-community-33:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 12.0% $17.96 Darkwing 12.0% $13.75 Etch Lord 8.0% $13.06 Apocalypto 12.0% $11.36 Enforcer 12.0% $11.21 | $18.94 +74.2% | $12.26 +12.8% | 68.0% | +28.8% | $10.87 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Etch Lord 8.0% $2.28 Analog Input 8.0% $2.02 Acid Etched 12.0% $1.97 Apocalypto 12.0% $1.66 | $8.04 +216.4% | $2.70 +6.1% | 20.0% | +77.2% | $2.54 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 6.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 6.0% $4.36 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Darkwing 6.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +161.0% | $3.82 +24.2% | 72.0% | +37.5% | $3.08 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Darkwing 10.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +136.4% | $4.16 +22.4% | 60.0% | +38.5% | $3.40 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 4.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 4.0% $4.36 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Darkwing 4.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +167.9% | $3.66 +21.9% | 68.0% | +34.6% | $3.00 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 2.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 2.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 2.0% $4.36 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Darkwing 2.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +173.4% | $3.49 +18.7% | 64.0% | +29.8% | $2.94 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Kilowatt Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 16.0% $4.36 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Darkwing 16.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +104.0% | $4.66 +18.4% | 56.0% | +36.7% | $3.94 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  20.0% $23.51 Phantom Disruptor  13.3% $21.16 Jawbreaker  20.0% $14.90 Disco Tech  13.3% $13.93 Justice  13.3% $11.07 Olympus  20.0% $8.82 | $23.51 +78.8% | $15.60 +18.6% | 66.7% | +41.0% | $13.15 | — |