The Revolution Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
5x $0.14
Insomnia
1x $0.34
Hypnosis
3x $0.43
Trail Blazer
1x $0.75
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
8.0% $14.22
Turbine
8.0% $12.89
Saibā Oni
8.0% $8.54
Hydro Strike
8.0% $6.39
Randy Rush
8.0% $4.44
Emphorosaur-S
12.0% $4.12
Max Win
$14.22 (+263.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.17 (+32.2%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+107.8%
Cost
$3.91
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.91
Ask Price EV $5.17 (+32.2%)
Bid Price EV $4.54 (+16.2%)
Ask Profit $1.26 (+32.2%)
Bid Profit $0.63 (+16.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.62 (+15.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.26
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.63
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $14.22 (+263.8%)
Worst Case $0.86 (-78.0%)
Volatility +107.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$4.19
Avg Loss -$1.92
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.86 (-78.0%)
Std Dev $4.22
Avg Norm Float 0.1748
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 16m
Oldest Output Price 147h 8m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Insomnia
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.75 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 22M 34S //TOTAL COST $3.91 //ASK PRICE EV $5.17 //BID PRICE EV $4.54 //ASK PROFIT $1.26 (+32.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.63 (+16.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $14.22 //VOLATILITY +107.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
8.0%
$14.22
+$10.31
+263.8%
$12.20
+$8.29
+212.0%
$2.02
14.2%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$12.89
+$8.98
+229.7%
$11.24
+$7.33
+187.5%
$1.65
12.8%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$8.54
+$4.63
+118.4%
$7.91
+$4.00
+102.3%
$0.63
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$6.39
+$2.47
+63.3%
$5.78
+$1.87
+47.8%
$0.60
9.5%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$4.44
+$0.52
+13.4%
$3.60
-$0.31
-7.9%
$0.83
18.8%
—
PAPER WIN
12.0%
$4.12
+$0.21
+5.3%
$3.56
-$0.35
-9.0%
$0.56
13.5%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$3.08
-$0.83
-21.2%
$2.72
-$1.19
-30.4%
$0.36
11.7%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$2.65
-$1.26
-32.1%
$2.41
-$1.50
-38.4%
$0.24
9.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.36
-$2.55
-65.1%
$1.21
-$2.70
-69.1%
$0.15
11.3%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.86
-$3.05
-78.0%
$0.82
-$3.09
-79.0%
$0.04
4.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.13113,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.139872,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3114072,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.104904,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.3645,
"optimistic_value": 1.34,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:50.412989Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.17484,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.8605,
"optimistic_value": 0.85,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:44:21.681226Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14011992312,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 6.385,
"optimistic_value": 6.14,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 5.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:00.005902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.148614,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 12.8915,
"optimistic_value": 12.65,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 11.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.603657Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.11539440000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 8.539000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 7.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:51.999651Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.13113,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 4.435,
"optimistic_value": 3.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 3.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:19.118551Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.13113,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 14.224,
"optimistic_value": 14,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 12.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.297824Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_61be866c20e81b03795a8147",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "503983589620342531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:52:10.581575Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "515242588555261033",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499479989896449373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "658230515398900238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "516368488725172886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-e6a7543c4187",
"listing_id": "515241791650778785",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Insomnia",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e6a7543c4187.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:25.987414Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "510738989041246858",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:17.622204Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "510738989039869354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:17.622204Z"
},
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "506234592361574640",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:17.622204Z"
},
{
"price": 0.75,
"skin_id": "skin-03f6e200c8b6",
"listing_id": "521997988014704562",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-03f6e200c8b6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:51.164480Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-34:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $36.14 Turbine 8.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 8.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 8.0% $16.76 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $11.80 Randy Rush 8.0% $9.60 | $36.14 +242.2% | $12.55 +18.8% | 44.0% | +91.7% | $10.56 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $36.14 Turbine 8.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 8.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 8.0% $16.76 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $11.80 Randy Rush 8.0% $9.60 | $36.14 +176.7% | $13.34 +2.1% | 32.0% | +71.6% | $13.06 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +319.6% | $4.48 +32.1% | 44.0% | +98.6% | $3.39 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 Randy Rush 4.0% $3.93 | $14.22 +387.1% | $3.78 +29.4% | 52.0% | +102.1% | $2.92 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Randy Rush 10.0% $3.93 | $14.22 +211.9% | $5.81 +27.3% | 40.0% | +80.7% | $4.56 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Randy Rush 12.0% $3.93 | $14.22 +170.9% | $6.49 +23.6% | 48.0% | +70.9% | $5.25 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $14.22 Turbine 14.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 14.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 14.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 14.0% $4.44 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +140.3% | $7.23 +22.1% | 56.0% | +61.7% | $5.92 | — |