The Clutch Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4

Restricted → Classified FN 10 items

Battle-Scarred -28.8%Factory New +28.8%Field-Tested +10.8%Minimal Wear -6.0%Well-Worn -24.4%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Factory New

Inputs

Wild Six

2x $6.44

Arctic Wolf

1x $9.63

SWAG-7

3x $13.68

Charged Up

2x $10.70

Whiteout

2x $18.42

↓

Possible Outputs

Hellish

20.0% $597.10

Latte Rush

20.0% $294.44

Cortex

20.0% $47.29

Mortis

20.0% $29.09

Stymphalian

20.0% $26.14

Max Win

$597.10 (+286.9%)

EV (ROI %)

$198.81 (+28.8%)

Win %

40.0%

Volatility

+144.7%

Cost

$154.33

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $154.33

Ask Price EV $198.81 (+28.8%)

Bid Price EV $176.88 (+14.6%)

Ask Profit $44.48 (+28.8%)

Bid Profit $22.55 (+14.6%)

Liquidity Gap $21.93 (+14.2%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$44.48

Bid Slippage Buffer +$22.55

Risk

Win Probability 40.0%

Loss Probability 60.0%

Best Case $597.10 (+286.9%)

Worst Case $26.14 (-83.1%)

Volatility +144.7%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%

Avg Win +$291.44

Avg Loss -$120.15

Bottom 5% Outcome $26.14 (-83.1%)

Std Dev $223.32

Avg Norm Float 0.0697

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 23m

Oldest Output Price 155h 28m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Edge

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

Nova | Wild Six

—

Factory New

$6.44 Float: HIDDEN

Nova | Wild Six

—

Factory New

$8.02 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf

—

Factory New

$9.63 Float: HIDDEN

MAG-7 | SWAG-7

—

Factory New

$13.68 Float: HIDDEN

MAG-7 | SWAG-7

—

Factory New

$17.16 Float: HIDDEN

MAG-7 | SWAG-7

—

Factory New

$19.06 Float: HIDDEN

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

—

Field-Tested

$10.70 Float: HIDDEN

Tec-9 | Whiteout

—

Field-Tested

$18.42 Float: HIDDEN

Tec-9 | Whiteout

—

Field-Tested

$25.32 Float: HIDDEN

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

—

Minimal Wear

$25.90 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 55S //TOTAL COST $154.33 //ASK PRICE EV $198.81 //BID PRICE EV $176.88 //ASK PROFIT $44.48 (+28.8%) //BID PROFIT $22.55 (+14.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $597.10 //VOLATILITY +144.7% //

Possible Outputs · 5

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Restricted|normal",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Restricted|normal",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.06969,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-e7d48237eb0f",
      "realistic_value": 597.102,
      "optimistic_value": 554.78,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Hellish",
      "conservative_value": 524.1,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:32.488398Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e7d48237eb0f.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.06969,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-9836cfa060f6",
      "realistic_value": 294.4405,
      "optimistic_value": 294.43,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush",
      "conservative_value": 258.53,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:56:36.220092Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9836cfa060f6.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.19999999999999998,
      "output_float": 0.043904700000000005,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-808553c51871",
      "realistic_value": 26.1405,
      "optimistic_value": 26.13,
      "output_full_name": "AUG | Stymphalian",
      "conservative_value": 25.99,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:53.547747Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808553c51871.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.19999999999999998,
      "output_float": 0.044601600000000005,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-c41637779316",
      "realistic_value": 29.0935,
      "optimistic_value": 28.95,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Mortis",
      "conservative_value": 28.7,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AWP | Mortis (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:08:03.808949Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c41637779316.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.19999999999999998,
      "output_float": 0.06969,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-3901933d5e47",
      "realistic_value": 47.293499999999995,
      "optimistic_value": 47.08,
      "output_full_name": "USP-S | Cortex",
      "conservative_value": 47.08,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:41.459827Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3901933d5e47.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_5e7141a4468f04b04af348db",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 6.44,
      "skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
      "listing_id": "505108692513851144",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Factory New)",
      "name": "Nova | Wild Six",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:17.295668Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 8.02,
      "skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
      "listing_id": "493850490549102592",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Factory New)",
      "name": "Nova | Wild Six",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:17.295668Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 9.63,
      "skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
      "listing_id": "506235442368064752",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:07:18.512250Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13.68,
      "skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
      "listing_id": "521997191230267662",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:24.746646Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 17.16,
      "skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
      "listing_id": "506235223783515168",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:24.746646Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 19.06,
      "skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
      "listing_id": "502857524062906660",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:24.746646Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 10.7,
      "skin_id": "skin-9446ef74272b",
      "listing_id": "493850543432341336",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9446ef74272b.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:51.224625Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 18.42,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "503983642533469051",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:59:23.199657Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 25.32,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "525375740885109643",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:59:23.199657Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 25.9,
      "skin_id": "skin-9446ef74272b",
      "listing_id": "528753440605754505",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9446ef74272b.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:37.155124Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:6+collection-set-train-2025:4"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested	Hellish 20.0% $64.09 Latte Rush 20.0% $41.69 Mortis 20.0% $5.96 Cortex 20.0% $5.71 Stymphalian 20.0% $5.38	$64.09 +188.9%	$24.56 +10.8%	40.0%	+109.0%	$22.18	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Hellish 25.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 25.0% $294.44 Cortex 16.7% $47.29 Mortis 16.7% $29.09 Stymphalian 16.7% $26.14	$597.10 +220.3%	$239.97 +28.7%	50.0%	+124.5%	$186.41	—
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Hellish 15.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 15.0% $294.44 Cortex 23.3% $47.29 Mortis 23.3% $29.09 Stymphalian 23.3% $26.14	$597.10 +387.0%	$157.65 +28.6%	30.0%	+168.1%	$122.62	—
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Hellish 30.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 30.0% $294.44 Cortex 13.3% $47.29 Mortis 13.3% $29.09 Stymphalian 13.3% $26.14	$597.10 +170.3%	$281.13 +27.3%	60.0%	+105.6%	$220.91	—
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Hellish 35.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 35.0% $294.44 Cortex 10.0% $47.29 Mortis 10.0% $29.09 Stymphalian 10.0% $26.14	$597.10 +129.0%	$322.29 +23.6%	70.0%	+87.2%	$260.72	—
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Train 2025 Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Hellish 40.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 40.0% $294.44 Cortex 6.7% $47.29 Mortis 6.7% $29.09 Stymphalian 6.7% $26.14	$597.10 +97.3%	$363.45 +20.1%	40.0%	+70.4%	$302.68	—
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Hellish 10.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 10.0% $294.44 Cortex 26.7% $47.29 Mortis 26.7% $29.09 Stymphalian 26.7% $26.14	$597.10 +507.9%	$116.49 +18.6%	20.0%	+181.4%	$98.22	—
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Train 2025 Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Hellish 45.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 45.0% $294.44 Cortex 3.3% $47.29 Mortis 3.3% $29.09 Stymphalian 3.3% $26.14	$597.10 +70.3%	$404.61 +15.4%	45.0%	+54.0%	$350.52	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New	Whiteout 20.0% $64.86 Charged Up 20.0% $63.69 Derailment 20.0% $41.07 SWAG-7 8.0% $10.69 Arctic Wolf 8.0% $9.64 Wild Six 8.0% $6.02	$64.86 +113.6%	$36.76 +21.0%	60.0%	+73.3%	$30.37	—
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Field-Tested	LongDog 20.0% $323.88 Bloodsport 40.0% $55.33 Neo-Noir 40.0% $52.93	$323.88 +221.7%	$108.08 +7.4%	20.0%	+107.2%	$100.68	—