The Bank Collection ×8+The Inferno Collection ×2
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Carbon Fiber
5x $0.31
Caged Steel
3x $0.48
Gunsmoke
2x $4.60
↓
Possible Outputs
Brass
10.0% $181.74
Anodized Navy
10.0% $35.31
Tuxedo
26.7% $5.76
Tuxedo
26.7% $4.18
Meteorite
26.7% $2.59
Max Win
$181.74 (+825.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$25.05 (+27.5%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+270.2%
Cost
$19.64
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $19.64
Ask Price EV $25.05 (+27.5%)
Bid Price EV $18.46 (-6.0%)
Ask Profit $5.41 (+27.5%)
Bid Profit $-1.18 (-6.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.59 (+33.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.41
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.18
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $181.74 (+825.4%)
Worst Case $2.59 (-86.8%)
Volatility +270.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$88.89
Avg Loss -$15.46
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.59 (-86.8%)
Std Dev $53.06
Avg Norm Float 0.0694
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 11m
Oldest Output Price 144h 48m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Caged Steel
—
Factory New
$0.48 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Caged Steel
—
Factory New
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$0.75 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$1.50 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Caged Steel
—
Factory New
$2.00 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$4.60 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Minimal Wear
$7.37 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 15S //TOTAL COST $19.64 //ASK PRICE EV $25.05 //BID PRICE EV $18.46 //ASK PROFIT $5.41 (+27.5%) //BID PROFIT $-1.18 (-6.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $181.74 //VOLATILITY +270.2% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$181.74
+$162.10
+825.4%
$120.00
+$100.36
+511.0%
$61.74
34.0%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$35.31
+$15.67
+79.8%
$33.55
+$13.91
+70.8%
$1.76
5.0%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$5.76
-$13.88
-70.7%
$5.21
-$14.43
-73.5%
$0.55
9.5%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$4.18
-$15.46
-78.7%
$3.83
-$15.81
-80.5%
$0.35
8.4%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$2.59
-$17.05
-86.8%
$2.59
-$17.05
-86.8%
$0.00
0.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-bank|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.055504,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5fc8e75d4fa5",
"realistic_value": 4.180499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 3.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:25.111449Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5fc8e75d4fa5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.012488399999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3b1a5d288858",
"realistic_value": 2.5935,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:36:51.127700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b1a5d288858.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.055504,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8019620598a2",
"realistic_value": 5.7585,
"optimistic_value": 5.72,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 5.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:20.811696Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8019620598a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0055504,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06938,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 181.7415,
"optimistic_value": 150.91,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 120,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:58.072873Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_48888a40b2dc88e3ff055514",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "506235389470002864",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:29.106297Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "519745391339077988",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:29.106297Z"
},
{
"price": 0.48,
"skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
"listing_id": "497227393152266981",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:20.481570Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
"listing_id": "524249787961762863",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:20.481570Z"
},
{
"price": 0.75,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "503983537174108111",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:29.106297Z"
},
{
"price": 1.5,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "635711906877896645",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:29.106297Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "627827974608577131",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:29.106297Z"
},
{
"price": 2,
"skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
"listing_id": "631206489578145137",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:20.481570Z"
},
{
"price": 4.6,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524249529996069051",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:25.620427Z"
},
{
"price": 7.37,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524248990847644659",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:50.150956Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-bank:8+collection-set-inferno:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×7+The Inferno Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 15.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 15.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 23.3% $5.76 Tuxedo 23.3% $4.00 Meteorite 23.3% $2.59 | $181.74 +569.4% | $35.44 +30.5% | 30.0% | +230.0% | $27.15 | — |
The Bank Collection ×6+The Inferno Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 20.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 20.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 20.0% $5.80 Tuxedo 20.0% $4.18 Meteorite 20.0% $2.59 | $181.74 +398.2% | $45.93 +25.9% | 20.0% | +189.1% | $36.48 | — |
The Bank Collection ×9+The Inferno Collection ×1 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 5.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 5.0% $35.31 Tuxedo 30.0% $5.76 Tuxedo 30.0% $4.18 Meteorite 30.0% $2.59 | $181.74 +1259.3% | $14.61 +9.3% | 10.0% | +291.4% | $13.37 | — |