The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Neoqueen
3x $1.42
Banana Cannon
2x $1.58
Amberline
2x $3.12
Urban Sovereign
3x $3.64
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
16.7% $126.41
Kintsugi
16.7% $22.90
Deathgaze
16.7% $20.61
Duality
16.7% $18.23
Wild Child
16.7% $9.68
Wicked Sick
16.7% $9.62
Max Win
$126.41 (+365.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$34.58 (+27.2%)
Win %
16.7%
Volatility
+152.3%
Cost
$27.18
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $27.18
Ask Price EV $34.58 (+27.2%)
Bid Price EV $31.05 (+14.2%)
Ask Profit $7.40 (+27.2%)
Bid Profit $3.86 (+14.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.53 (+13.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$7.40
Bid Slippage Buffer +$3.86
Risk
Win Probability 16.7%
Loss Probability 83.3%
Best Case $126.41 (+365.1%)
Worst Case $9.62 (-64.6%)
Volatility +152.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$99.23
Avg Loss -$10.97
Bottom 5% Outcome $9.62 (-64.6%)
Std Dev $41.38
Avg Norm Float 0.1496
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 155h 34m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Minimal Wear
$1.42 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Minimal Wear
$1.46 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Minimal Wear
$1.53 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
—
Minimal Wear
$1.58 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
—
Minimal Wear
$1.79 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.12 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.27 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.65 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 22M 56S //TOTAL COST $27.18 //ASK PRICE EV $34.58 //BID PRICE EV $31.05 //ASK PROFIT $7.40 (+27.2%) //BID PROFIT $3.86 (+14.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 16.7% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +152.3% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$126.41
+$99.23
+365.1%
$112.39
+$85.21
+313.5%
$14.02
11.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$22.90
-$4.28
-15.7%
$20.78
-$6.40
-23.5%
$2.12
9.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$20.61
-$6.57
-24.2%
$19.49
-$7.69
-28.3%
$1.12
5.4%
—
LOSS
16.7%
$18.23
-$8.95
-32.9%
$15.22
-$11.96
-44.0%
$3.01
16.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$9.68
-$17.50
-64.4%
$9.17
-$18.01
-66.3%
$0.51
5.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$9.62
-$17.56
-64.6%
$9.22
-$17.96
-66.1%
$0.40
4.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14959,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.119672,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d42f9ca97ef6",
"realistic_value": 18.232,
"optimistic_value": 18.05,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Duality",
"conservative_value": 15.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:48:00.390173Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d42f9ca97ef6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14959,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"realistic_value": 9.6205,
"optimistic_value": 9.54,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"conservative_value": 9.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:55:48.879542Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14959,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 22.903499999999998,
"optimistic_value": 22.9,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:29.751270Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14959,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 20.6095,
"optimistic_value": 20.55,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:14.768970Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14959,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"realistic_value": 9.676,
"optimistic_value": 9.48,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"conservative_value": 9.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:55:48.386479Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3fbc4e1a9ff30d6e27f5324e",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.42,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "508487136896638334",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:29.471427Z"
},
{
"price": 1.46,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "506234592361495296",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:29.471427Z"
},
{
"price": 1.53,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "520871291139996204",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:29.471427Z"
},
{
"price": 1.58,
"skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"listing_id": "501731842662288785",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:49.789569Z"
},
{
"price": 1.79,
"skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"listing_id": "514116523133820066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:49.789569Z"
},
{
"price": 3.12,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109542380569456",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:21.126722Z"
},
{
"price": 3.27,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724643508044325",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:21.126722Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "502857637416656416",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:07.305052Z"
},
{
"price": 4.65,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "514116741798120126",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:13.401858Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518620341243921772",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:13.401858Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $60.46 Deathgaze 16.7% $58.67 Wicked Sick 16.7% $41.66 Duality 16.7% $37.86 Wild Child 16.7% $31.49 | $290.04 +333.3% | $86.70 +29.5% | 16.7% | +136.8% | $66.94 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.20 Duality 16.7% $9.41 Wicked Sick 16.7% $5.64 Wild Child 16.7% $5.36 | $63.86 +308.3% | $18.02 +15.2% | 16.7% | +132.2% | $15.64 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $60.46 Deathgaze 23.3% $58.67 Wicked Sick 10.0% $41.66 Duality 10.0% $38.74 Wild Child 10.0% $31.49 | $290.04 +266.6% | $106.66 +34.8% | 23.3% | +128.5% | $79.12 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze 30.0% $58.67 Wicked Sick 3.3% $41.66 Duality 3.3% $37.86 Wild Child 3.3% $31.49 | $290.04 +208.1% | $126.45 +34.3% | 30.0% | +114.0% | $94.14 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $60.46 Deathgaze 20.0% $58.67 Wicked Sick 13.3% $41.66 Duality 13.3% $38.74 Wild Child 13.3% $31.49 | $290.04 +296.7% | $96.75 +32.3% | 20.0% | +132.9% | $73.12 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 10.0% $22.45 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.31 Duality 23.3% $18.23 Wild Child 23.3% $9.77 Wicked Sick 23.3% $9.62 | $126.41 +525.8% | $25.79 +27.7% | 30.0% | +167.9% | $20.20 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $22.90 Deathgaze 13.3% $20.61 Duality 20.0% $18.23 Wild Child 20.0% $9.68 Wicked Sick 20.0% $9.62 | $126.41 +430.0% | $30.16 +26.5% | 13.3% | +159.7% | $23.85 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Kintsugi 6.7% $22.90 Deathgaze 6.7% $20.61 Duality 26.7% $18.23 Wild Child 26.7% $9.68 Wicked Sick 26.7% $9.62 | $126.41 +619.9% | $21.34 +21.5% | 46.7% | +162.2% | $17.56 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 3.3% $22.45 Deathgaze 3.3% $21.31 Duality 30.0% $18.23 Wild Child 30.0% $9.77 Wicked Sick 30.0% $9.62 | $126.41 +734.4% | $16.96 +11.9% | 40.0% | +137.4% | $15.15 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator  14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.57 Emphorosaur-S  6.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +242.5% | $20.16 +34.7% | 42.0% | +86.8% | $14.97 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  35.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  35.0% $484.90 Temukau  15.0% $288.76 Head Shot  15.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +104.0% | $536.91 +29.8% | 70.0% | +59.7% | $413.55 | — |