The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Recoil Collection ×6

Classified → Covert MW ST 10 items

Factory New -23.0%Field-Tested +34.4%Minimal Wear +18.5%

Contract

Classified → Covert Minimal Wear StatTrak™

Inputs

Shapewood

3x $12.51

The Executioner

1x $14.11

Visions

5x $11.15

Kiss♥Love

1x $13.41

↓

Possible Outputs

Fade

20.0% $318.51

Printstream

30.0% $177.28

Royal Paladin

20.0% $173.55

Chromatic Aberration

30.0% $51.36

Max Win

$318.51 (+126.0%)

EV (ROI %)

$167.00 (+18.5%)

Win %

70.0%

Volatility

+66.0%

Cost

$140.94

Age —

Financials

ASK-ONLY EDGE

Total Cost $140.94

Ask Price EV $167.00 (+18.5%)

Bid Price EV $123.63 (-12.3%)

Ask Profit $26.06 (+18.5%)

Bid Profit $-17.31 (-12.3%)

Liquidity Gap $43.38 (+30.8%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$26.06

Bid Slippage Buffer -$17.31

Risk

Win Probability 70.0%

Loss Probability 30.0%

Best Case $318.51 (+126.0%)

Worst Case $51.36 (-63.6%)

Volatility +66.0%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%

Avg Win +$75.62

Avg Loss -$89.58

Bottom 5% Outcome $51.36 (-63.6%)

Std Dev $92.97

Avg Norm Float 0.1498

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 20m

Oldest Output Price 142h 21m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Safe

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

P90 | Shapewood

—

Field-Tested

$12.51 Float: HIDDEN

G3SG1 | The Executioner

—

Field-Tested

$14.11 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$19.55 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$21.18 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$11.15 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$11.67 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$12.00 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$12.36 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$13.00 Float: HIDDEN

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

—

Minimal Wear

$13.41 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 11M 10S //TOTAL COST $140.94 //ASK PRICE EV $167.00 //BID PRICE EV $123.63 //ASK PROFIT $26.06 (+18.5%) //BID PROFIT $-17.31 (-12.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $318.51 //VOLATILITY +66.0% //

Possible Outputs · 4

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-31|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.104846,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-3a4cc2c7a86f",
      "realistic_value": 51.358000000000004,
      "optimistic_value": 50,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Chromatic Aberration",
      "conservative_value": 46.64,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:08.108451Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a4cc2c7a86f.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.12731299999999998,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-be37abed2b4d",
      "realistic_value": 177.278,
      "optimistic_value": 174.73,
      "output_full_name": "USP-S | Printstream",
      "conservative_value": 150.73,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:35.342510Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-be37abed2b4d.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.119824,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-4c83a4940ef3",
      "realistic_value": 173.547,
      "optimistic_value": 165,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Royal Paladin",
      "conservative_value": 144.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T03:37:34.881770Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c83a4940ef3.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.059912,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-3d5660b8b090",
      "realistic_value": 318.5125,
      "optimistic_value": 254.81,
      "output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Fade",
      "conservative_value": 177.41,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:28:16.437303Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3d5660b8b090.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_050add70e7681821dbc28e2e",
  "input_rarity": "Classified",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 12.51,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "523123835626698250",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:47:46.533307Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 14.11,
      "skin_id": "skin-b0c24d905a01",
      "listing_id": "660480340358227224",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "G3SG1 | The Executioner",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b0c24d905a01.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:18.844331Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 19.55,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "528753335312491401",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:42.810215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 21.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "636836442316788129",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:42.810215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 11.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "515242536110440009",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:04.296480Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 11.67,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "502856892560546812",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:04.296480Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 12,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "751679596837140503",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:04.296480Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 12.36,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "662733504200639458",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:04.296480Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "515241791650671001",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:04.296480Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13.41,
      "skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
      "listing_id": "519746022667284272",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:50.650173Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Covert",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:4+collection-set-community-31:6"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Recoil Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 20.0% $318.51 Printstream 30.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 20.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 30.0% $51.36	$318.51 +156.4%	$167.00 +34.4%	70.0%	+74.8%	$124.24	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Recoil Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 15.0% $318.51 Printstream 35.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 15.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 35.0% $51.36	$318.51 +169.4%	$153.83 +30.1%	65.0%	+75.6%	$118.23	—
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Recoil Collection ×8 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 10.0% $318.51 Printstream 40.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 10.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 40.0% $51.36	$318.51 +176.8%	$140.66 +22.3%	60.0%	+72.7%	$115.05	—
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Recoil Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 5.0% $318.51 Printstream 45.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 5.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 45.0% $51.36	$318.51 +185.0%	$127.49 +14.1%	55.0%	+67.3%	$111.75	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Recoil Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST	Power Loader 6.7% $20.64 Avalanche 6.7% $17.49 Retrobution 6.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 6.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 6.7% $6.33 Tiger Moth 6.7% $5.80	$20.64 +303.0%	$5.75 +12.2%	40.0%	+98.2%	$5.12	—